{"id":95599,"date":"2026-11-12T10:59:03","date_gmt":"2026-11-12T15:59:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=95599"},"modified":"2026-11-12T11:06:07","modified_gmt":"2026-11-12T16:06:07","slug":"20261112-%e7%a7%91%e5%ad%a6%e5%ae%b6%e6%9b%be%e9%a2%84%e8%a8%802026%e5%b9%b411%e6%9c%8813%e6%97%a5%e6%98%af%e4%b8%96%e7%95%8c%e6%9c%ab%e6%97%a5%ef%bc%81%e5%a6%82%e4%bb%8a%e7%9c%9f%e7%9b%b8%e6%8f%ad","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=95599","title":{"rendered":"20261112\/\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u66fe\u9884\u8a002026\u5e7411\u670813\u65e5\u9ed1\u4e94\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u672b\u65e5\uff01\u5982\u4eca\u771f\u76f8\u63ed\u6653"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u661f\u661f\u751f\u6d3b\u6377\u514b\u4f73\/\u4e00\u7bc7\u65e9\u5e74\u53d1\u8868\u4e8e\u300a\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\u6742\u5fd7\u7684\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u66fe\u9884\u6d4b\u4eba\u7c7b\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u57282026\u5e74\u903c\u8fd1\u65e0\u7a77\u5927\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u201c\u6324\u538b\u81f4\u6b7b\u201d\u3002\u5982\u4eca\u9884\u8a00\u65e5\u671f\u4e34\u8fd1\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u66fe\u5f15\u53d1\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u672b\u65e5\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u600e\u4e48\u56de\u4e8b\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>1960\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u9876\u5c16\u79d1\u5b66\u671f\u520a\u4e4b\u4e00\u300a\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\uff08Science\uff09\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u4e00\u7bc7\u6807\u9898\u5341\u5206\u60ca\u4eba\u7684\u8bba\u6587\uff1a\u300a\u4e16\u754c\u672b\u65e5\uff1a\u516c\u51432026\u5e7411\u670813\u65e5\uff0c\u661f\u671f\u4e94\u300b\uff08Doomsday: Friday, 13 November, A.D. 2026\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/conversation261105_1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/conversation261105_1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"579\" height=\"432\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-95600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/conversation261105_1.png 579w, https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/conversation261105_1-300x224.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 579px) 100vw, 579px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u8bba\u6587\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u65e5\u671f\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u8d8b\u8fd1\u4e8e\u65e0\u7a77\u5927\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u6700\u7ec8\u53ef\u80fd\u56e0\u6b64\u8d70\u5411\u81ea\u6211\u6bc1\u706d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u6b64\u79bb\u5947\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u8fc5\u901f\u5f15\u8d77\u516c\u4f17\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u66f4\u4ee4\u4eba\u610f\u5916\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u8bba\u6587\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u548c\u6570\u5b66\u63a8\u5bfc\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u76f8\u5f53\u4e25\u8c28\uff0c\u5b83\u4e5f\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u79d1\u5b66\u754c\u6301\u7eed\u800c\u8ba4\u771f\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8bba\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u5305\u62ec\u5965\u5730\u5229\u88d4\u7f8e\u56fd\u6559\u6388\u3001\u63a7\u5236\u8bba\u4e13\u5bb6\u6d77\u56e0\u8328\u00b7\u51af\u00b7\u798f\u65af\u7279\uff08Heinz von Foerster\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4ed6\u7684\u4e24\u540d\u5b66\u751f\u5e15\u7279\u91cc\u590f\u00b7M\u00b7\u83ab\u62c9\uff08Patricia M. Mora\uff09\u548c\u52b3\u4f26\u65af\u00b7W\u00b7\u963f\u7c73\u5965\uff08Lawrence W. Amiot\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u5177\u6709\u7279\u6b8a\u6027\uff0c\u5176\u901f\u5ea6\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4ec5\u8d85\u8fc7\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u6307\u6570\u589e\u957f\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4f1a\u4ee5\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5feb\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u6301\u7eed\u52a0\u901f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f5c\u8005\u751a\u81f3\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ee4\u4eba\u4e0d\u5b89\u7684\u5224\u65ad\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u66fe\u66fe\u5b59\u8f88\u4e0d\u4f1a\u997f\u6b7b\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4f1a\u88ab\u6324\u538b\u81f4\u6b7b\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u6b64\u540e\u88ab\u5b66\u672f\u754c\u9891\u7e41\u5f15\u7528\uff0c\u5176\u4eba\u53e3\u9884\u6d4b\u5728\u76f8\u5f53\u957f\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e5f\u76f8\u5f53\u51c6\u786e\u3002\u76f4\u52301993\u5e74\u524d\u540e\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8ddd\u79bb\u9884\u8a00\u4e2d\u7684\u201c\u4e16\u754c\u672b\u65e5\u201d\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u534a\u65f6\u95f4\u65f6\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u624d\u5f00\u59cb\u9010\u6e10\u843d\u540e\u4e8e\u8bba\u6587\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0d\u52301960\u5e74\u65f6\u7684\u4e00\u534a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5927\u53ef\u4e0d\u5fc5\u62c5\u5fc311\u670813\u65e5\u9192\u6765\u65f6\u4f1a\u53d1\u73b0\u4e16\u754c\u672b\u65e5\u771f\u7684\u964d\u4e34\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u8fd9\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f88\u6709\u4ee3\u8868\u6027\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\uff1a\u5b83\u5c06\u4e25\u8c28\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u4e0e\u5de7\u5999\u7684\u8868\u8fbe\u65b9\u5f0f\u7ed3\u5408\u8d77\u6765\uff0c\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u4ee4\u4eba\u9707\u60ca\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u6548\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>**\u4eba\u7c7b\u662f\u5426\u62e5\u6709\u72ec\u7279\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u80fd\u529b\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>20\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e2d\u671f\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u8fc5\u901f\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u5404\u754c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u62c5\u5fc3\u4eba\u53e3\u81a8\u80c0\u53ef\u80fd\u9020\u6210\u8d44\u6e90\u77ed\u7f3a\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5f15\u53d1\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u51b2\u7a81\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u79cd\u62c5\u5fe7\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6e90\u4e8e\u9a6c\u5c14\u8428\u65af\u4eba\u53e3\u7406\u8bba\uff08Malthusian theory\uff09\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8be5\u7406\u8bba\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u5177\u6709\u6307\u6570\u7ea7\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6f5c\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u6700\u7ec8\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u7cae\u98df\u4f9b\u7ed9\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u9650\u5236\u3002\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4f46\u80fd\u591f\u517b\u6d3b\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u5374\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u81ea\u7136\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u5236\u7ea6\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/conversation261105_2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/conversation261105_2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"551\" height=\"710\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-95601\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/conversation261105_2.png 551w, https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/conversation261105_2-233x300.png 233w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 551px) 100vw, 551px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u51af\u00b7\u798f\u65af\u7279\u53ca\u5176\u5408\u4f5c\u8005\u5728\u8bba\u6587\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7279\u6b8a\u7684\u4f8b\u5916\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u62e5\u6709\u6c9f\u901a\u3001\u5408\u4f5c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7ec4\u5efa\u8054\u76df\u89e3\u51b3\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u968f\u7740\u4eba\u53e3\u5bc6\u5ea6\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u673a\u4f1a\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u968f\u4e4b\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u4e0d\u4ec5\u53ef\u80fd\u8d85\u8fc7\u6307\u6570\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee5\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5feb\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u6301\u7eed\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e3a\u4e86\u8bc1\u660e\u8fd9\u4e00\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u56e2\u961f\u6536\u96c6\u4e86\u8fc7\u53bb\u7ea62000\u5e74\u95f4\u768424\u7ec4\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u4f30\u7b97\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5e76\u636e\u6b64\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u91cf\u5728\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u4e00\u76f4\u6301\u7eed\u8d85\u8fc7\u539f\u6709\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6574\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u91c7\u7528\u5e73\u9759\u3001\u4e25\u8c28\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u8bed\u8a00\uff0c\u5e76\u8f85\u4ee5\u5927\u91cf\u590d\u6742\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u516c\u5f0f\uff0c\u8bd5\u56fe\u8bc1\u660e\u8fd9\u4e00\u770b\u4f3c\u4e0d\u53ef\u601d\u8bae\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n<p>**\u201c\u88ab\u6324\u538b\u81f4\u6b7b\u201d\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u672b\u65e5\u9884\u6d4b<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u5206\u6790\u5386\u53f2\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u51af\u00b7\u798f\u65af\u7279\u53ca\u5176\u5408\u4f5c\u8005\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u63a8\u7b97\u81f3\u672a\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u4eec\u5f97\u51fa\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u662f\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u4eba\u53e3\u7ee7\u7eed\u4ee5\u4e0d\u65ad\u52a0\u5feb\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u52302026\u5e74\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u6570\u91cf\u5c06\u63a5\u8fd1\u65e0\u7a77\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u4e5f\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u6b64\u524d\u6b63\u662f\u4f9d\u9760\u5408\u4f5c\u80fd\u529b\u63a8\u52a8\u4e86\u81ea\u8eab\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u79cd\u80fd\u529b\u5982\u4eca\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u5e2e\u52a9\u6211\u4eec\u907f\u514d\u707e\u96be\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65e2\u7136\u4eba\u4eec\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u613f\u610f\u901a\u8fc7\u7f29\u77ed\u5bff\u547d\u6765\u63a7\u5236\u4eba\u53e3\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4f5c\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u89e3\u51b3\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u529e\u6cd5\u5c31\u662f\u5171\u540c\u52aa\u529b\uff0c\u5c06\u5168\u7403\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u964d\u4f4e\u4e00\u534a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u53d1\u8868\u540e\u7acb\u5373\u5f15\u53d1\u8f70\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300a\u65f6\u4ee3\u300b\uff08Time\uff09\u6742\u5fd7\u548c\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\uff08The New York Times\uff09\u7b49\u5a92\u4f53\u7eb7\u7eb7\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u8fde\u6f2b\u753b\u4f5c\u54c1\u300a\u6ce2\u6208\u300b\uff08Pogo\uff09\u4e5f\u4ee5\u6b64\u4e3a\u9898\u6750\u521b\u4f5c\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u6f2b\u753b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f53\u65f6\uff0c\u4e0d\u5c11\u8bc4\u8bba\u4eba\u58eb\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u4e0d\u8fc7\u662f\u5728\u7528\u5938\u5f20\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u8bbd\u523a\u793e\u4f1a\u5bf9\u4eba\u53e3\u81a8\u80c0\u7684\u6050\u60e7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>**\u4eba\u53e3\u7206\u70b8\u9884\u6d4b\u4e3a\u4f55\u66fe\u7ecf\u5982\u6b64\u51c6\u786e\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u573a\u8ba8\u8bba\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u63a8\u79fb\u800c\u5e73\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300a\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\u6742\u5fd7\u540e\u6765\u520a\u767b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u6570\u5b66\u5bb6\u548c\u4eba\u53e3\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u8bfb\u8005\u6765\u4fe1\uff0c\u5bf9\u51af\u00b7\u798f\u65af\u7279\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u63d0\u51fa\u6279\u8bc4\uff0c\u79f0\u5176\u7ed3\u8bba\u201c\u8352\u8c2c\u201d\u201c\u663e\u7136\u4e0d\u5408\u7406\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9762\u5bf9\u8d28\u7591\uff0c\u8bba\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u9000\u8ba9\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u79ef\u6781\u56de\u5e94\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e3a\u5176\u6570\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u548c\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u8bba\u8fa9\u62a4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ece20\u4e16\u7eaa60\u5e74\u4ee3\u523080\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u4e16\u754c\u672b\u65e5\u65b9\u7a0b\u201d\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u7ecf\u5e38\u88ab\u9057\u4f20\u5b66\u3001\u751f\u6001\u5b66\u548c\u4eba\u53e3\u5b66\u6559\u79d1\u4e66\u5f15\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b83\u751a\u81f3\u51fa\u73b0\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u610f\u60f3\u4e0d\u5230\u7684\u573a\u5408\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c1963\u5e74\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u8bae\u4f1a\u4e00\u4e2a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u8ba8\u8bba\u76f8\u5173\u95ee\u9898\u65f6\uff0c\u4e00\u540d\u5316\u5b66\u5de5\u4e1a\u754c\u4eba\u58eb\u5c31\u5f15\u7528\u4e86\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u9700\u8981\u4f7f\u7528\u5316\u5b66\u519c\u836f\u6765\u6ee1\u8db3\u672a\u6765\u4eba\u53e3\u7cae\u98df\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u7406\u7531\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1971\u5e74\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u9ad8\u6cd5\u9662\u5ba1\u7406\u7684\u4e00\u5b97\u5815\u80ce\u6848\u4ef6\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u9879\u4eba\u53e3\u9884\u6d4b\u4e5f\u88ab\u5f15\u7528\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u8bf4\u660e\u653f\u5e9c\u6ca1\u6709\u5145\u5206\u7406\u7531\u9f13\u52b1\u4eba\u53e3\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u9879\u9884\u6d4b\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u80fd\u591f\u957f\u671f\u53d7\u5230\u91cd\u89c6\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\uff1a\u5728\u76f8\u5f53\u957f\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\uff0c\u5b83\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u786e\u5b9e\u975e\u5e38\u51c6\u786e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u572820\u4e16\u7eaa70\u5e74\u4ee3\u548c80\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u5176\u6838\u5fc3\u6570\u5b66\u516c\u5f0f\u5f97\u51fa\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u4f18\u4e8e\u5f53\u65f6\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u53e3\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/conversation261105_3.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/conversation261105_3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"555\" height=\"372\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-95602\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/conversation261105_3.png 555w, https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/conversation261105_3-300x201.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 555px) 100vw, 555px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u76f4\u52301993\u5e74\u524d\u540e\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u624d\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5b9e\u9645\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u9010\u6e10\u4f4e\u4e8e\u6a21\u578b\u6240\u63a8\u7b97\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u8fd9\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u9887\u5177\u610f\u5473\uff1a\u4eba\u7c7b\u793e\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb\u9010\u6e10\u91c7\u53d6\u8bba\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u5f53\u5e74\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u52aa\u529b\u964d\u4f4e\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0d\u52301960\u5e74\u65f6\u7684\u4e00\u534a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>**\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u827a\u672f<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u5927\u6982\u4e0d\u4f1a\u57282026\u5e7411\u670813\u65e5\u9192\u6765\u65f6\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u81ea\u5df1\u771f\u7684\u88ab\u4eba\u53e3\u201c\u6324\u538b\u81f4\u6b7b\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5728\u628a\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9884\u8a00\u5f53\u4f5c\u4e00\u4e2a\u8fc7\u65f6\u7684\u7b11\u8bdd\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6216\u8bb8\u503c\u5f97\u601d\u8003\uff1a\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u7a76\u7adf\u7ed9\u6211\u4eec\u7559\u4e0b\u4e86\u4ec0\u4e48\u542f\u793a\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u6587\u7ae0\u4f5c\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u503c\u5f97\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u9884\u6d4b\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5982\u4f55\u5c06\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u4f20\u9012\u7ed9\u516c\u4f17\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8bba\u6587\u4e3b\u8981\u4f5c\u8005\u6d77\u56e0\u8328\u00b7\u51af\u00b7\u798f\u65af\u7279\u4eba\u751f\u4e2d\u66fe\u6709\u4e00\u6bb5\u7ecf\u5386\uff1a\u4ed6\u63a5\u53d7\u8fc7\u821e\u53f0\u9b54\u672f\u5e08\u8bad\u7ec3\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/conversation261105_4.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/conversation261105_4.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"553\" height=\"392\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-95603\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/conversation261105_4.png 553w, https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/conversation261105_4-300x213.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 553px) 100vw, 553px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u501f\u7528\u821e\u53f0\u9b54\u672f\u7684\u8bed\u8a00\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u6210\u529f\u7684\u9b54\u672f\u901a\u5e38\u5305\u542b\u4e09\u4e2a\u73af\u8282\uff1a\u9996\u5148\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u4e2a\u770b\u4f3c\u666e\u901a\u7684\u573a\u666f\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u51fa\u73b0\u4ee4\u4eba\u610f\u60f3\u4e0d\u5230\u7684\u8f6c\u6298\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u518d\u63ed\u6653\u771f\u76f8\uff0c\u8ba9\u4e00\u5207\u56de\u5f52\u6b63\u5e38\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u51af\u00b7\u798f\u65af\u7279\u53ca\u5176\u5408\u4f5c\u8005\u7684\u8bba\u6587\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u80fd\u591f\u5f15\u8d77\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5173\u6ce8\uff0c\u6b63\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u5c06\u4e00\u7bc7\u666e\u901a\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u5305\u88c5\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u6781\u5177\u51b2\u51fb\u529b\u7684\u6807\u9898\u548c\u7ed3\u8bba\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u8fd9\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u80fd\u591f\u957f\u671f\u4fdd\u6301\u5b66\u672f\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u4f9d\u9760\u6807\u9898\u5438\u5f15\u773c\u7403\uff0c\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5b83\u6709\u7814\u7a76\u6570\u636e\u3001\u6570\u5b66\u63a8\u5bfc\u548c\u8bba\u8bc1\u4f5c\u4e3a\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7528\u770b\u4f3c\u8352\u8bde\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u8ba9\u516c\u4f17\u5173\u6ce8\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e25\u8083\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u6216\u8bb8\u6b63\u662f\u8fd9\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u6700\u6210\u529f\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65b0\u95fb\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<br \/>\nhttps:\/\/theconversation.com\/scientists-predicted-friday-13-november-2026-will-be-doomsday-should-you-be-worried-290354<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u661f\u661f\u751f\u6d3b\u6377\u514b\u4f73\/\u4e00\u7bc7\u65e9\u5e74\u53d1\u8868\u4e8e\u300a\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\u6742\u5fd7\u7684\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u66fe\u9884\u6d4b\u4eba\u7c7b\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u57282026\u5e74\u903c\u8fd1\u65e0\u7a77\u5927\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u201c\u6324\u538b\u81f4\u6b7b\u201d\u3002\u5982\u4eca\u9884\u8a00\u65e5\u671f\u4e34\u8fd1\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u66fe\u5f15\u53d1\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u672b\u65e5\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u600e\u4e48\u56de\u4e8b\uff1f 1960\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u9876\u5c16\u79d1\u5b66\u671f\u520a\u4e4b\u4e00\u300a\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\uff08Science\uff09\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u4e00\u7bc7\u6807\u9898\u5341\u5206\u60ca\u4eba\u7684\u8bba\u6587\uff1a\u300a\u4e16\u754c\u672b\u65e5\uff1a&#8230;<br \/><a class=\"read-more-button\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=95599\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":95602,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[3],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95599"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=95599"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95599\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":95609,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95599\/revisions\/95609"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/95602"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=95599"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=95599"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=95599"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}