{"id":90935,"date":"2026-01-13T18:45:09","date_gmt":"2026-01-13T23:45:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=90935"},"modified":"2026-01-13T18:45:09","modified_gmt":"2026-01-13T23:45:09","slug":"20260113-%e4%b8%93%e5%ae%b6%e5%89%8d%e7%9e%bb%e5%8d%a1%e5%b0%bc%e7%9a%84%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e6%97%b6%e5%88%bb%ef%bc%9a%e4%b8%80%e6%ac%a1%e5%85%b7%e6%9c%89%e5%8e%86%e5%8f%b2%e6%84%8f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=90935","title":{"rendered":"20260113\/\u4e13\u5bb6\u524d\u77bb\u5361\u5c3c\u7684\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u523b\u201d\uff1a\u4e00\u6b21\u5177\u6709\u5386\u53f2\u610f\u4e49\u7684\u5317\u4eac\u4e4b\u884c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u661f\u661f\u751f\u6d3b\u6377\u514b\u4f73\/\u5728\u8fd1\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u603b\u7406\u9996\u6b21\u8bbf\u534e\u524d\u5915\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u52a0\u4e2d\u4e24\u56fd\u7684\u591a\u4f4d\u91cd\u91cf\u7ea7\u4e13\u5bb6\uff0c\u5bf9\u52a0\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u672a\u6765\u8d70\u5411\u4f5c\u51fa\u524d\u77bb\u6027\u89e3\u8bfb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u603b\u7406\u9a6c\u514b\u00b7\u5361\u5c3c\uff08Mark Carney\uff09\u672c\u5468\u542f\u7a0b\u524d\u5f80\u5317\u4eac\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u662f\u8fd1\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u603b\u7406\u9996\u6b21\u6b63\u5f0f\u8bbf\u534e\u2014\u2014\u52a0\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\u6b63\u7ad9\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u8f6c\u6298\u70b9\u4e0a\u3002\u5728\u5168\u7403\u683c\u5c40\u52a8\u8361\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u8d38\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6e25\u592a\u534e\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u591a\u5143\u5316\u4e0e\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u538b\u529b\u4e4b\u95f4\u5bfb\u627e\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u6b64\u884c\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u8bae\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u667a\u5e93\u548c\u5e73\u4e0e\u5916\u4ea4\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff08Institute for Peace &#038; Diplomacy, IPD\uff09\u5c31\u6b64\u9080\u8bf7\u4e8615\u4f4d\u6765\u81ea\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u5b89\u5168\u9886\u57df\u4e13\u5bb6\uff0c\u5bf9\u5361\u5c3c\u6b64\u8bbf\u7684\u6218\u7565\u610f\u4e49\u3001\u73b0\u5b9e\u6311\u6218\u4e0e\u6f5c\u5728\u6210\u679c\u8fdb\u884c\u6df1\u5165\u8bc4\u6790\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/cn_ca260113.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/cn_ca260113-1024x570.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"734\" height=\"409\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-90936\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/cn_ca260113-1024x570.png 1024w, https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/cn_ca260113-300x167.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/cn_ca260113-768x427.png 768w, https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/cn_ca260113.png 1093w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 734px) 100vw, 734px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>**\u5173\u7cfb\u201c\u7834\u51b0\u201d\u4e4b\u65c5\uff1a\u91cd\u5efa\u9ad8\u5c42\u4e92\u4fe1\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u9996\u8981\u76ee\u6807<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u591a\u4f4d\u4e13\u5bb6\u4e00\u81f4\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6b64\u6b21\u8bbf\u534e\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u610f\u4e49\uff0c\u5e76\u975e\u7acb\u5373\u89e3\u51b3\u6240\u6709\u4e89\u7aef\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6062\u590d\u9ad8\u5c42\u4e92\u4fe1\u4e0e\u7a33\u5b9a\u6c9f\u901a\u673a\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u524d\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u56fd\u9645\u8d38\u6613\u90e8\u957f\u3001\u524d\u4e16\u8d38\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5927\u4f7f\u585e\u5c14\u5409\u5965\u00b7\u9a6c\u5c14\u57fa\uff08Sergio Marchi\uff09\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u52a0\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u8fd1\u5341\u5e74\u4e2d\u6301\u7eed\u6076\u5316\uff0c\u9ad8\u5c42\u63a5\u89e6\u957f\u671f\u4e2d\u65ad\uff0c\u8fd9\u201c\u6839\u672c\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u7ef4\u7cfb\u5982\u6b64\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u53cc\u8fb9\u5173\u7cfb\u201d\u3002\u4ed6\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u56fd\u9645\u884c\u4e3a\u4e0a\u5b58\u5728\u4e89\u8bae\uff0c\u4f46\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u65e0\u6cd5\u627f\u53d7\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5927\u56fd\u201c\u758f\u79bb\u6216\u51b7\u5904\u7406\u201d\u7684\u4ee3\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4ed6\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u524d\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u91cd\u65b0\u65bd\u538b\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u3001\u5bf9\u5173\u952e\u4ea7\u4e1a\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e\u3001\u751a\u81f3\u516c\u5f00\u8ba8\u8bba\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u201c\u7b2c51\u4e2a\u5dde\u201d\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5361\u5c3c\u5c3d\u65e9\u8bbf\u534e\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5fc5\u8981\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5177\u6709\u660e\u663e\u7684\u6218\u7565\u610f\u4e49\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/pdi260113.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/pdi260113.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"651\" height=\"401\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-90937\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/pdi260113.png 651w, https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/pdi260113-300x185.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 651px) 100vw, 651px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>**\u201c\u5361\u5c3c\u8def\u7ebf\u201d\u6d6e\u73b0\uff1a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e3b\u4e49\u8f6c\u5411<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u524d\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u957f\u9ad8\u7ea7\u987e\u95ee\u4e54\u65af\u5170\u00b7\u5e93\u9686\uff08Jocelyn Coulon\uff09\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5361\u5c3c\u6b64\u884c\u6e05\u6670\u6807\u5fd7\u7740\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e3b\u4e49\u8f6c\u5411\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0e\u7279\u9c81\u591a\u653f\u5e9c\u65f6\u671f\u5f62\u6210\u9c9c\u660e\u5bf9\u6bd4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u8bdd\u8bed\u4e3b\u5bfc\u4e0b\uff0c\u5c06\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u89c6\u4e3a\u5e94\u88ab\u5b64\u7acb\u7684\u201c\u5a01\u6743\u56fd\u5bb6\u201d\uff0c\u8bd5\u56fe\u6784\u5efa\u6240\u8c13\u201c\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\u9632\u706b\u5899\u201d\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u672a\u80fd\u6539\u53d8\u73b0\u5b9e\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u8def\u7ebf\u5df2\u88ab\u8bc1\u660e\u662f\u5931\u8d25\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u5361\u5c3c\u6b63\u5728\u9010\u6b65\u52fe\u52d2\u4e00\u5957\u66f4\u52a1\u5b9e\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u8def\u7ebf\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u518d\u88ab\u7b80\u5355\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e3a\u201c\u654c\u4eba\u201d\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u88ab\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u4f4d\u4e3a\u201c\u6218\u7565\u4f19\u4f34\u201d\u3002\u8fd9\u5728\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5b98\u65b9\u8bdd\u8bed\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e2d\uff0c\u88ab\u591a\u4f4d\u5b66\u8005\u79f0\u4e3a\u4e00\u6b21\u201c\u6839\u672c\u6027\u8f6c\u53d8\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>**\u8d38\u6613\u4e0e\u5173\u7a0e\uff1a\u6700\u73b0\u5b9e\u3001\u4e5f\u6700\u68d8\u624b\u7684\u8bae\u9898<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u5177\u4f53\u8bae\u9898\u4e0a\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u6469\u64e6\u4e0e\u5173\u7a0e\u95ee\u9898\u88ab\u666e\u904d\u89c6\u4e3a\u6700\u5177\u73b0\u5b9e\u610f\u4e49\u3001\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u662f\u6700\u96be\u77ed\u671f\u89e3\u51b3\u7684\u9886\u57df\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7535\u52a8\u8f66\u5f81\u6536100%\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u6cb9\u83dc\u7c7d\u3001\u732a\u8089\u7b49\uff09\u7684\u53cd\u5236\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5df2\u5bf9\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u897f\u90e8\u7701\u4efd\u9020\u6210\u5b9e\u8d28\u6027\u51b2\u51fb\u3002\u591a\u4f4d\u4e13\u5bb6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6e25\u592a\u534e\u613f\u610f\u8c03\u6574\u7535\u52a8\u8f66\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u65b9\u9762\u5df2\u660e\u786e\u91ca\u653e\u51fa\u201c\u5bf9\u7b49\u56de\u5e94\u201d\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5728\u6b64\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7a7a\u95f4\u53d7\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u5236\u7ea6\u3002\u6b63\u503c\u300a\u52a0\u7f8e\u58a8\u534f\u5b9a\u300b\uff08CUSMA\uff09\u5ba1\u67e5\u7684\u654f\u611f\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u201c\u5411\u4e2d\u56fd\u9760\u62e2\u201d\u7684\u4e3e\u52a8\uff0c\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u534e\u76db\u987f\u4e0d\u6ee1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u90e8\u5206\u4e13\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u52a0\u4e2d\u53cc\u65b9\u901a\u8fc7\u4e16\u754c\u8d38\u6613\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08WTO\uff09\u673a\u5236\u89e3\u51b3\u4e89\u7aef\uff0c\u6216\u8bb8\u4e3a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u6761\u201c\u4f53\u9762\u9000\u573a\u201d\u7684\u8def\u5f84\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>**\u80fd\u6e90\u5408\u4f5c\uff1a\u6700\u53ef\u80fd\u53d6\u5f97\u7a81\u7834\u7684\u9886\u57df<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u6bd4\u5173\u7a0e\u535a\u5f08\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u88ab\u666e\u904d\u89c6\u4e3a\u6700\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u53d6\u5f97\u5b9e\u8d28\u8fdb\u5c55\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u4f9b\u5e94\u56fd\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\uff08LNG\uff09\u9879\u76ee\u4e5f\u6b63\u5728\u52a0\u901f\u63a8\u8fdb\u3002\u591a\u4f4d\u4e13\u5bb6\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u6b64\u8bbf\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u51fa\u53e3\u3001\u957f\u671f\u4f9b\u5e94\u534f\u8bae\u53ca\u76f8\u5173\u6295\u8d44\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u201c\u6700\u7a33\u59a5\u3001\u6700\u4e0d\u5177\u4e89\u8bae\u201d\u7684\u6210\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u524d\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5168\u7403\u4e8b\u52a1\u90e8\u526f\u90e8\u957f\u4f11\u00b7\u65af\u8482\u82ac\u65af\uff08Hugh 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class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"TVYf2RhS9K\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/peacediplomacy.org\/2026\/01\/12\/mr-carney-goes-to-beijing-the-long-march-to-a-new-beginning\/\">Mr. Carney Goes to Beijing: The Long March to a New Beginning<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;Mr. Carney Goes to Beijing: The Long March to a New Beginning&#8221; &#8212; The Institute for Peace and Diplomacy - l\u2019Institut pour la paix et la diplomatie\" src=\"https:\/\/peacediplomacy.org\/2026\/01\/12\/mr-carney-goes-to-beijing-the-long-march-to-a-new-beginning\/embed\/#?secret=PjRDw5gaKa#?secret=TVYf2RhS9K\" data-secret=\"TVYf2RhS9K\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u661f\u661f\u751f\u6d3b\u6377\u514b\u4f73\/\u5728\u8fd1\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u603b\u7406\u9996\u6b21\u8bbf\u534e\u524d\u5915\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u52a0\u4e2d\u4e24\u56fd\u7684\u591a\u4f4d\u91cd\u91cf\u7ea7\u4e13\u5bb6\uff0c\u5bf9\u52a0\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u672a\u6765\u8d70\u5411\u4f5c\u51fa\u524d\u77bb\u6027\u89e3\u8bfb\u3002 \u968f\u7740\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u603b\u7406\u9a6c\u514b\u00b7\u5361\u5c3c\uff08Mark Carney\uff09\u672c\u5468\u542f\u7a0b\u524d\u5f80\u5317\u4eac\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u662f\u8fd1\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u603b\u7406\u9996\u6b21\u6b63\u5f0f\u8bbf\u534e\u2014\u2014\u52a0\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\u6b63\u7ad9\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u8f6c\u6298\u70b9\u4e0a\u3002\u5728\u5168\u7403\u683c\u5c40\u52a8\u8361\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u8d38\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u9ad8&#8230;<br \/><a class=\"read-more-button\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=90935\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":90936,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[3],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90935"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=90935"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90935\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":90938,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90935\/revisions\/90938"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/90936"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=90935"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=90935"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=90935"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}