{"id":82242,"date":"2024-09-17T15:49:14","date_gmt":"2024-09-17T20:49:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=82242"},"modified":"2024-09-17T15:49:14","modified_gmt":"2024-09-17T20:49:14","slug":"20240917-%e5%8a%a0%e6%8b%bf%e5%a4%a78%e6%9c%88%e9%80%9a%e8%83%80%e7%8e%87%e9%99%8d%e8%87%b32%ef%bc%8c%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e6%88%96%e5%a4%a7%e5%b9%85%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=82242","title":{"rendered":"20240917\/\u52a0\u62ff\u59278\u6708\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u964d\u81f32%\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u6216\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u606f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uff08\u661f\u661f\u751f\u6d3b\/\u6377\u514b\u4f73\uff09\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5e74\u901a\u80c0\u73878\u6708\u4efd\u8fbe\u5230\u592e\u884c2%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f2021\u5e742\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u5907\u53d7\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6807\u4e5f\u964d\u81f340\u4e2a\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u800c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u73af\u6bd4\u4e0b\u964d0.2%\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u66f4\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u964d\u606f\u7559\u4e0b\u4e86\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u636e\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0cStatCan\u5468\u4e8c\u5728\u6e25\u592a\u534e\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c8\u6708\u4efd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u4e3a2%\uff0c\u800c\u524d\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u4e3a2.5%\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5e45\u5ea6\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d2.1%\u7684\u4e2d\u503c\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/bnn240917.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/bnn240917.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"616\" height=\"345\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-82245\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/bnn240917.jpg 616w, https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/bnn240917-300x168.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 616px) 100vw, 616px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u592e\u884c\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u52a0\u606f\u5468\u671f\u4e4b\u4e00\u540e\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5728\u884c\u957f\u8482\u8299\u00b7\u9ea6\u514b\u52d2\u59c6\uff08Tiff Macklem\uff09\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4e0b\u5df2\u56de\u52302%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u5468\u4e8c\u7684\u6570\u636e\u5c06\u589e\u5f3a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u5bf9\u4ef7\u683c\u538b\u529b\u5f97\u5230\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u4e3a\u5176\u52a0\u5feb\u964d\u606f\u6b65\u4f10\u63d0\u4f9b\u56de\u65cb\u4f59\u5730\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u6b64\u524d\u9884\u8ba1\u4eca\u5e74\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e3a2.6%\uff0c\u660e\u5e74\u5c06\u964d\u81f32.4%\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u57282026\u5e74\u964d\u81f3\u76ee\u6807\u533a\u95f41-3%\u7684\u4e2d\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Desjardins Securities\u8463\u4e8b\u603b\u7ecf\u7406\u517c\u5b8f\u89c2\u6218\u7565\u4e3b\u7ba1\u7f57\u4f0a\u65af\u00b7\u95e8\u5fb7\u65af(Royce Mendes)\u5728\u7ed9\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f97\u5230\u904f\u5236\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u592e\u884c\u4e0b\u4e2a\u6708\u5c06\u628a\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u8c0350\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u4ee5\u52a0\u5feb\u56de\u5f52\u66f4\u4e2d\u6027\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/boc240917.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/boc240917.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"744\" height=\"473\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-82243\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/boc240917.jpg 744w, https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/boc240917-300x191.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 744px) 100vw, 744px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u662f\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c10\u670823\u65e5\u4f5c\u51fa\u4e0b\u6b21\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\u524d\u7684\u4e24\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u4efd\u3002\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u52a0\u5927\u4e86\u5bf9\u592e\u884c\u4e0b\u6b21\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\u964d\u606f\u5e45\u5ea6\u8d85\u6b63\u5e38\u7684\u62bc\u6ce8\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u592e\u884c\u964d\u606f50\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u51e0\u7387\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e\u629b\u786c\u5e01\u7684\u51e0\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u592e\u884c\u4e24\u9879\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\u6307\u6807\u5747\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5e74\u5747\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4ece\u4e0a\u6708\u76842.55%\u964d\u81f32.35%\uff0c\u4e0e\u9884\u671f\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u6839\u636e\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u9879\u6307\u6807\u7684\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u4ece7\u6708\u4efd\u76842.8%\u964d\u81f3\u5e74\u5316\u589e\u957f\u73872.4%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>8\u6708\u4efd\u662f\u603b\u4f53\u5229\u7387\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u516b\u4e2a\u6708\u5904\u4e8e\u592e\u884c\u76ee\u6807\u533a\u95f4\u5185\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5546\u4f1a\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u5b89\u5fb7\u9c81\u00b7\u8fea\u5361\u666e\u963f(Andrew DiCapua)\u5728\u4e00\u4efd\u58f0\u660e\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u671f\u5f85\u5df2\u4e45\u7684\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u901a\u80c0\u7565\u4f4e\u4e8e\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u73b0\u5728\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8ba4\u771f\u8003\u8651\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5e74\u5ea6\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u653e\u7f13\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u6c7d\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u8fd8\u53d7\u5230\u57fa\u6570\u6548\u5e94\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u516b\u4e2a\u5b50\u884c\u4e1a\u4e2d\u6709\u4e94\u4e2a\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u73af\u6bd4\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u901a\u8d27\u7d27\u7f29\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f15\u53d1\u592e\u884c\u5b98\u5458\u5bf9\u901a\u8d27\u7d27\u7f29\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u9ea6\u514b\u52d2\u59c6\u6700\u8fd1\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u65e2\u5173\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4f4e\u4e8e2%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u4e5f\u5173\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u8d85\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e00\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u81ea6\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u5df2\u4e09\u6b21\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u5c06\u9694\u591c\u57fa\u51c6\u5229\u7387\u964d\u81f34.25%\uff0c\u5b98\u5458\u4eec\u8fd8\u6697\u793a\u8fd8\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u606f\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u5728\u65e5\u76ca\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e9b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u547c\u5401\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u5f00\u59cb\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u5927\u4e3e\u63aa\u6765\u964d\u4f4e\u501f\u8d37\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u6708\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u9ea6\u514b\u52d2\u59c6\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u901f\u5ea6\u5feb\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5b98\u5458\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u8c0350\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u6216\u66f4\u591a\u3002\u4f46\u4ed6\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u66f4\u5f3a\u52b2\u6216\u901a\u80c0\u6301\u7eed\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51b3\u5b9a\u6682\u505c\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b98\u5458\u4eec\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u57fa\u6570\u6548\u5e94\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u901a\u80c0\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u76ee\u6807\u6c34\u5e73\u4e4b\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>CIBC\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u5b89\u5fb7\u9c81\u00b7\u683c\u5170\u745f\u59c6\uff08Andrew Grantham\uff09\u5728\u7ed9\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u5e95\u7ebf\u662f\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u4ecd\u7136\u6ca1\u6709\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u73b0\u5728\u5e94\u8be5\u96c6\u4e2d\u7cbe\u529b\u523a\u6fc0\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u963b\u6b62\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u683c\u5170\u745f\u59c6\u8868\u793a\uff0cCIBC\u94f6\u884c\u7ee7\u7eed\u9884\u6d4b\u4ece\u73b0\u5728\u5230\u660e\u5e74\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8c03200\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u8ba1\u5230\u660e\u5e747\u6708\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7684\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u964d\u81f32.5\uff05\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u524d\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4f4e50\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u963f\u5c14\u4f2f\u5854\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u67e5\u5c14\u65af\u00b7\u5723\u963f\u8bfa\uff08Charles St-Arnaud\uff09\u5728\u4e00\u5c01\u7535\u90ae\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u4e0d\u518d\u662f\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5c31\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u201c\u652f\u6491\u7740\u7ecf\u6d4e\u201d\uff0c\u4e0b\u4e00\u4efd\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u529b\u5ea6\u53ef\u80fd\u5c06\u51b3\u5b9a\u592e\u884c\u662f\u964d\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u8fd8\u662f50\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>8\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u5229\u606f\u6210\u672c\u548c\u79df\u91d1\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5e74\u5ea6\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6700\u5927\u8d21\u732e\u8005\u3002\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u5229\u606f\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u6da818.8%\uff0c\u79df\u91d1\u4e0a\u6da88.9%\u3002\u4e0d\u5305\u62ec\u4f4f\u623f\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u540c\u6bd4\u4e0a\u6da80.5%\uff0c\u800c7\u6708\u4efd\u4e3a1.2%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u5305\u62ec\u98df\u54c1\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\uff0c\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u8f83\u4e0a\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u4e0a\u6da82.4%\u3002\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e0a\u6da84.3%\uff0c\u800c\u5546\u54c1\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc0.7%\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/fp240917.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/fp240917.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"561\" height=\"423\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-82244\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/fp240917.jpg 561w, https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/fp240917-300x226.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 561px) 100vw, 561px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u91d1\u878d\u90ae\u62a5\u9053\u9053\u8bf4\uff0cCapital Economics\u526f\u9996\u5e2d\u5317\u7f8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u65af\u8482\u82ac\u00b7\u5e03\u6717\uff08Stephen Brown\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c8\u6708\u4efd\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u4e3b\u8981\u53d7\u57fa\u6570\u6548\u5e94\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4ed6\u9884\u8ba1\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5c06\u56de\u5347\u81f32.5%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c8\u6708\u4efd\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7ec6\u8282\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8bc1\u660e\u901a\u80c0\u4e4b\u6218\u5df2\u63a5\u8fd1\u80dc\u5229\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u52a0\u5267\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u5f88\u5feb\u518d\u6b21\u964d\u606f50\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u731c\u6d4b\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8482\u8299\u00b7\u9ea6\u514b\u52d2\u59c6\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u63a5\u53d7\u82f1\u56fd\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u91c7\u8bbf\u65f6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u201c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u672a\u80fd\u5982\u9884\u671f\u5b9e\u73b0\u201d\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u964d\u606f\u63aa\u65bd\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uff08\u661f\u661f\u751f\u6d3b\/\u6377\u514b\u4f73\uff09\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5e74\u901a\u80c0\u73878\u6708\u4efd\u8fbe\u5230\u592e\u884c2%\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f2021\u5e742\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u5907\u53d7\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6807\u4e5f\u964d\u81f340\u4e2a\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u800c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u73af\u6bd4\u4e0b\u964d0.2%\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u66f4\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u964d\u606f\u7559\u4e0b\u4e86\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002 \u636e\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0cStatCan\u5468\u4e8c\u5728\u6e25\u592a\u534e\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c8\u6708\u4efd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u4e3a2&#8230;<br \/><a class=\"read-more-button\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=82242\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":82245,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[3],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82242"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=82242"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82242\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":82246,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82242\/revisions\/82246"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/82245"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=82242"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=82242"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=82242"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}