{"id":79056,"date":"2024-04-10T20:43:49","date_gmt":"2024-04-11T01:43:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=79056"},"modified":"2024-04-10T20:43:49","modified_gmt":"2024-04-11T01:43:49","slug":"20240410-%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e6%9a%97%e7%a4%ba%e5%85%ad%e6%9c%88%e6%88%96%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af%ef%bc%8c%e5%8a%a0%e6%8b%bf%e5%a4%a7%e6%98%a5%e5%ad%a3%e6%88%bf%e5%9c%b0%e4%ba%a7%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e5%a4%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=79056","title":{"rendered":"20240410\/\u592e\u884c\u6697\u793a\u516d\u6708\u6216\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6625\u5b63\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u5904\u4e8e\u201c\u6301\u6709\u6a21\u5f0f\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uff08\u661f\u661f\u751f\u6d3b\/\u6377\u514b\u4f73\uff09\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c4\u670810\u65e5\u5c06\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u57285%\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u9700\u8981\u5728\u964d\u606f\u5f00\u59cb\u4e4b\u524d\u770b\u5230\u901a\u80c0\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u636eCTV\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8482\u592b\u00b7\u9ea6\u514b\u83b1\u59c6(Tiff Macklem)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4eba\u60f3\u77e5\u9053\u592e\u884c\u4f55\u65f6\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u3002\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u5f00\u59cb\u770b\u5230\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u770b\u5230\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u770b\u5230\u66f4\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u786e\u4fe1\u4ef7\u683c\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u53bb\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u592e\u884c\u9884\u8ba1\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5c06\u4ece2024\u5e74\u521d\u76843%\u964d\u81f3\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u76842.5%\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u901a\u80c0\u5c06\u57282025\u5e74\u6062\u590d\u5230\u76ee\u6807\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c2\u6708\u4efd\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u964d\u81f32.8%\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/boc240410_1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/boc240410_1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"710\" height=\"398\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-79057\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/boc240410_1.jpg 710w, https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/boc240410_1-300x168.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 710px) 100vw, 710px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u5468\u4e09\uff0c\u9ea6\u514b\u52d2\u59c6\u5728\u6e25\u592a\u534e\u4e0e\u8bb0\u8005\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\uff0c\u786e\u5b9e\u4e3a6\u6708\u4efd\u53ef\u80fd\u964d\u606f\u655e\u5f00\u4e86\u5927\u95e8\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002\u201c\u8fd9\u662f\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\uff0c\u81ea\u4e00\u6708\u4efd\u4ee5\u6765\u6240\u770b\u5230\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u611f\u5230\u9f13\u821e\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5728\u6291\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u4f46\u670d\u52a1\u548c\u98df\u54c1\u6210\u672c\u4ecd\u7136\u5c45\u9ad8\u4e0d\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u592e\u884c\u62c5\u5fc3\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u4e09\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u9886\u57df\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4f9b\u5e94\u9700\u6c42\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u623f\u4ef7\u6da8\u5e45\u53ef\u80fd\u8d85\u51fa\u9884\u671f\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u6210\u672c\u9ad8\u548c\u79df\u91d1\u5f3a\u52b2\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4ecd\u7136\u9ad8\u8fbe7%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u5e76\u4e0d\u76f8\u4fe1\u5de5\u8d44\u589e\u957f\uff08\u6210\u672c\u7684\u5173\u952e\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\uff09\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u5982\u679c\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u6301\u7eed\u75b2\u5f31\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u4e34\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5f71\u54cd\u5168\u7403\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9ea6\u514b\u52d2\u59c6\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u60f3\u8ba9\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u9650\u5236\u65f6\u95f4\u8d85\u8fc7\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u8fc7\u65e9\u964d\u4f4e\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u6216\u964d\u606f\u8fc7\u5feb\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5371\u53ca\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u964d\u4f4e\u901a\u80c0\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u592e\u884c\u9884\u8ba1\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff08GDP\uff09\u589e\u901f\u5c06\u52a0\u5feb\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u4eca\u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f1.5%\uff0c\u660e\u5e74\u589e\u957f2.2%\uff0c2026\u5e74\u589e\u957f1.9%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5546\u4e1a\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u3001\u8de8\u5c71\u7ba1\u9053\u7684\u7ae3\u5de5\u548c\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u662f\u5bfc\u81f4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u66f4\u597d\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5173\u952e\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9884\u8ba1\u4eca\u5e74\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u4e5f\u5c06\u5f97\u5230\u63d0\u632f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2024\u5e74\u524d3\u6b21\uff081\u670824\u65e5\uff0c3\u67086\u65e5\uff0c4\u670810\u65e5\uff09\u7684\u8bae\u606f\u7ed3\u679c\u5747\u662f\u7ef4\u6301\u9694\u591c\u5229\u7387\u57285%\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u4f59\u4e0b\u76845\u6b21\u8bae\u606f\u65f6\u95f4\u5206\u522b\u662f6\u67085\u65e5\uff0c7\u670824\u65e5\uff0c9\u67084\u65e5\uff0c10\u670823\u65e5\uff0c12\u670811\u65e5\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>**\u592e\u884c\u8ba9\u6625\u5b63\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u5904\u4e8e\u201c\u6301\u6709\u6a21\u5f0f\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u91d1\u878d\u90ae\u62a5\u62a5\u9053\u8bf4\uff0c\u5728\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c4\u670810\u65e5\u518d\u6b21\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u57285%\u540e\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u5e0c\u671b\u964d\u606f\u80fd\u591f\u63d0\u632f\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6625\u5b63\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4eba\u5c06\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u7b49\u5f85\u66f4\u957f\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u6765\u8bf4\u5e76\u4e0d\u5168\u662f\u574f\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u592e\u884c\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u6e29\u548c\u8a00\u8bba\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5f3a\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4e0d\u4f1a\u7834\u574f\u4eca\u5e74\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/boc240410_2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/boc240410_2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"712\" height=\"402\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-79058\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/boc240410_2.jpg 712w, https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/boc240410_2-300x169.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 712px) 100vw, 712px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u9053\u660e\u94f6\u884c(TD Bank)\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Rishi Sondhi\u5468\u4e09\u5728\u5ba3\u5e03\u8fd9\u4e00\u6d88\u606f\u540e\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u592e\u884c\u7684\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u80af\u5b9a\u5bf9\u6625\u5b63\u5e02\u573a\u6ca1\u6709\u5e2e\u52a9\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u964d\u606f\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u6625\u5b63\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u8868\u73b0\u75b2\u5f31\u3002\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u5c06\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u505c\u6ede\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u9ea6\u514b\u52d2\u59c6\u786e\u5b9e\u8868\u793a\uff0c6\u6708\u4efd\u964d\u606f\u662f\u201c\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u201d\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u592e\u884c\u4e5f\u8c28\u614e\u5730\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u5b83\u5e0c\u671b\u770b\u5230\u901a\u80c0\u4ecd\u5728\u56de\u843d\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u8bc1\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u6708\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5728\u4e09\u6708\u4efd\u5e93\u5b58\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0a\u5347\u540e\uff0c\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u5730\u533a\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08TRREB\uff09\u5bf9\u6625\u5b63\u5e02\u573a\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u539a\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u623f\u4e3b\u53ef\u80fd\u9884\u8ba1\u6625\u5b63\u5e02\u573a\u72b6\u51b5\u4f1a\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u8fd9\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u89e3\u91ca\u4eca\u5e74\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e3a\u6b62\u65b0\u4e0a\u5e02\u623f\u5c4b\u6570\u91cf\u7684\u663e\u8457\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u201dTRREB\u7684Jennifer Pearce \u8868\u793a\u3002\u201c\u5047\u8bbe\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u4e0d\u4e45\u7684\u5c06\u6765\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u501f\u8d37\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u9500\u91cf\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u65b0\u4e0a\u5e02\u7684\u623f\u5c4b\u5c06\u88ab\u5438\u6536\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u72b6\u51b5\u8d8b\u7d27\u5c06\u63a8\u9ad8\u552e\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5173\u4e8e\u5229\u7387\u4f55\u65f6\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0b\u964d\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0b\u964d\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u4e89\u8bba\u73b0\u5728\u88ab\u63a8\u8fdf\u5230\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u3002\u9053\u660e\u7ecf\u6d4e(TD Economics)\u5df2\u7ecf\u5c067\u6708\u5b9a\u4e3a\u6700\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b83\u4e0d\u8ba4\u4e3a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6700\u6602\u8d35\u7684\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u5b89\u5927\u7565\u7701\u548c\u5351\u8bd7\u7701\u4f1a\u7acb\u5373\u53d7\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u548c\u5e73\u5747\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u6709\u6240\u56de\u5347\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u51e0\u4e2a\u5e02\u573a\u4e25\u5cfb\u7684\u8d1f\u62c5\u80fd\u529b\u72b6\u51b5\u5e94\u8be5\u4f1a\u9650\u5236\u6574\u4f53\u5e73\u5747\u623f\u4ef7\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u201d\u9053\u660e\u94f6\u884c\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u573a\u5c55\u671b\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u548c\u4f4f\u623f\u4e13\u5bb6\u76ee\u524d\u6b63\u5728\u4e89\u8bba\u964d\u606f\u662f\u5426\u5c06\u4e8e6\u6708\u62167\u6708\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7834\u574f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65f6\u95f4\u8868\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u5468\u4e09\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6da8\u5e45\u8d85\u51fa\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u79df\u91d1\u6301\u7eed\u8d70\u5f3a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6839\u636e\u9886\u5148\u6307\u6807\u9884\u8ba1\u901a\u80c0\u5c06\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u4f46\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e5d\u4e2a\u6708\u8fdb\u5c55\u57fa\u672c\u505c\u6ede\uff0c\u5f71\u54cd\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Sondhi\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u8ddf\u968f\u7f8e\u56fd\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u800c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4f7f\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4e70\u5bb6\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u5229\u7387\u73af\u5883\u66f4\u5177\u6311\u6218\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Sondhi \u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u5982\u679c\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u6e17\u900f\u5230\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b26\u5408\u6211\u4eec\u89c2\u70b9\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5373\u81f3\u5c11\u6625\u5b63\u9500\u552e\u5b63\u8282\u5c06\u53d7\u5230\u6291\u5236\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uff08\u661f\u661f\u751f\u6d3b\/\u6377\u514b\u4f73\uff09\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c4\u670810\u65e5\u5c06\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u57285%\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u9700\u8981\u5728\u964d\u606f\u5f00\u59cb\u4e4b\u524d\u770b\u5230\u901a\u80c0\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\u3002 \u636eCTV\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u8482\u592b\u00b7\u9ea6\u514b\u83b1\u59c6(Tiff Macklem)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4eba\u60f3\u77e5\u9053\u592e\u884c\u4f55\u65f6\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u3002\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u5f00\u59cb\u770b\u5230\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u770b\u5230\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u770b\u5230\u66f4\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u786e\u4fe1\u4ef7\u683c\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684&#8230;<br \/><a class=\"read-more-button\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=79056\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":79057,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[3],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79056"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=79056"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79056\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":79059,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79056\/revisions\/79059"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/79057"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=79056"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=79056"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=79056"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}