{"id":63443,"date":"2021-11-23T17:44:41","date_gmt":"2021-11-23T22:44:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=63443"},"modified":"2021-11-23T17:44:41","modified_gmt":"2021-11-23T22:44:41","slug":"20211123-%e5%8a%a0%e6%8b%bf%e5%a4%a7%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%9a%e6%8a%95%e8%b5%84%e8%80%85%e5%bc%95%e5%8f%91%e6%88%bf%e5%9c%b0%e4%ba%a7%e7%8b%82%e7%83%ad%ef%bc%8c%e4%b8%ad%e9%83%a8%e6%9c%80%e5%a4%a7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=63443","title":{"rendered":"20211123\/\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\uff1a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5f15\u53d1\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u72c2\u70ed\uff0c\u4e2d\u90e8\u6700\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\u9762\u4e34\u8c03\u6574\u98ce\u9669"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uff08\u661f\u661f\u751f\u6d3b\/\u6377\u514b\u4f73\uff09\u6839\u636e\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u5bf9\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e24\u5e74\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u5ba1\u67e5\uff0c\u5168\u56fd\u4f4f\u623f\u7d27\u7f29\u7684\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5df2\u7ecf\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4e2d\u90e8\u7684\u6700\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u8fc7\u5ea6\u9700\u6c42\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6765\u81ea\u6295\u8d44\u8005\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5bb6\u5ead\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u636e\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u90ae\u62a5\u300b\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u526f\u884c\u957f\u5468\u4e8c\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6d8c\u5165\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u63a8\u52a8\u5bf9\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u5916\u63a8\u6027\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u9762\u4e34\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u56de\u8c03\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/fp1123.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/fp1123.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"581\" height=\"428\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-63445\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/fp1123.png 581w, https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/fp1123-300x221.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 581px) 100vw, 581px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u56f0\u6270\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5341\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u70ed\u6f6e\u8d77\u6e90\u4e8e\u6e29\u54e5\u534e\uff0c\u5728\u90a3\u91cc\uff0c\u8d85\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u3001\u8de8\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u548c\u4f4e\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cf\u5171\u540c\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u4e00\u573a\u5f15\u8d77\u5168\u7403\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u70ed\u6f6e\uff0c\u5e76\u6700\u7ec8\u6f14\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u8d1f\u62c5\u80fd\u529b\u8fd9\u573a\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5c06\u4f4f\u623f\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u6839\u636e\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u7e41\u8363\u6307\u6570\uff08House Price Exuberance Indictor\uff09\uff0c\u81ea2019\u5e74\u5e95\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5351\u8bd7\u7701\u4e3b\u8981\u57ce\u5e02\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u4f9b\u5e94\u5df2\u5927\u81f4\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u7ed3\u5408\u4e86\u5404\u79cd\u4f4f\u623f\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bc4\u4f30\u4ef7\u683c\u662f\u5426\u5df2\u7ecf\u201c\u5916\u63a8\u201d\u3002\u592e\u884c\u5bf9\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u89e3\u91ca\u662f\u5bf9\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u548c\u623f\u5c4b\u5f00\u5de5\u7387\u7b49\u5e02\u573a\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u5b89\u5927\u7565\u7701\u548c\u9b41\u5317\u514b\u7701\u5f53\u5c40\u6700\u62c5\u5fc3\u7684\u5e94\u8be5\u662f\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u706d\u3002\u636e\u592e\u884c\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u80af\u5b9a\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u5730\u533a\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u8d76\u4e0a\u4e86\u6e29\u54e5\u534e\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u5927\u8427\u6761\u4e4b\u540e\u4ee4\u4eba\u4e0d\u5b89\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u901a\u80c0\u6765\u6e90\uff0c\u7ee7\u7eed\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u201c\u7e41\u8363\u201d\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\uff0c\u6c49\u5bc6\u5c14\u987f\u548c\u6e25\u592a\u534e\u4e5f\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u73b0\u5728\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u4f4e\u8ff7\u98ce\u9669\u6700\u5927\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u5728\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u7684\u70ed\u56fe\u4e0a\u4ece\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\u7684\u7ea2\u8272\u53d8\u4e3a\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u6df1\u7ea2\u8272\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f53\u4eba\u4eec\u5bb3\u6015\u9519\u8fc7\u673a\u4f1a\u6216\u671f\u671b\u901a\u8fc7\u8f6c\u552e\u83b7\u5f97\u672a\u6765\u8d44\u672c\u6536\u76ca\u65f6\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u5916\u63a8\u6027\u4ef7\u683c\u538b\u529b\u3002\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u526f\u884c\u957f\u4fdd\u7f57\u2022\u535a\u5fb7\u91cc (Paul Beaudry) \u572811\u670823\u65e5\u7684\u6f14\u8bb2\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u597d\u6d88\u606f\u662f\uff0c\u590f\u5b63\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u589e\u957f\u6709\u6240\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u8fd9\u5e94\u8be5\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0d\u826f\u5916\u63a8\u4ef7\u683c\u52a8\u6001\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8865\u5145\u9053\u3002\u201c\u4f46\u4e00\u4e9b\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u7136\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u8fd9\u79cd\u9884\u671f\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u5f71\u54cd\u623f\u4ef7\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u5f80\u5f80\u88ab\u5938\u5927\u4e86\u3002\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u5229\u7387\u4f1a\u6291\u5236\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u4f46\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u5b81\u613f\u907f\u514d\u635f\u5bb3\u5168\u56fd\u5bb6\u5ead\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5e72\u6d89\u4e2a\u522b\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6295\u673a\u3002\u592e\u884c\u6ca1\u6709\u76d1\u7ba1\u6743\u529b\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5b83\u6240\u80fd\u505a\u7684\u5c31\u662f\u5229\u7528\u5176\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5411\u653f\u5ba2\u548c\u76d1\u7ba1\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u6709\u5173\u60c5\u51b5\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/soldoverasking.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/soldoverasking.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"557\" height=\"409\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-63444\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/soldoverasking.png 557w, https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/soldoverasking-300x220.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 557px) 100vw, 557px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Re\/Max Holdings Inc.\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5206\u516c\u53f8\u603b\u88c1\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u6258\u5f17\u2022\u4e9a\u5386\u5c71\u5927\uff08Christopher Alexander\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u5b83\u59cb\u4e8e\u5e02\u653f\u5c42\u9762\uff0c\u7406\u7531\u662f\u571f\u5730\u8f6c\u8ba9\u7a0e\u3001\u7f13\u6162\u5ba1\u6279\u5efa\u7b51\u8bb8\u53ef\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5730\u65b9\u5173\u4e8e\u57ce\u5e02\u662f\u5efa\u8bbe\u8fd8\u662f\u7ee7\u7eed\u6269\u5f20\u7684\u4e89\u8bba\u4f5c\u4e3a\u52a0\u901f\u4f9b\u5e94\u7684\u969c\u788d\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u5371\u673a\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u4e25\u91cd\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u80fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u505a\u66f4\u591a\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u5c06\u5f97\u5230\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5e745\u6708\uff0c\u5f53\u592e\u884c\u4e0a\u6b21\u5ba1\u67e5\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u9996\u6b21\u5c06\u6709\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u5e02\u573a\u6311\u51fa\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u51b3\u5b9a\u5e94\u8be5\u4f1a\u8ba9\u7701\u5e02\u653f\u754c\u4eba\u58eb\u66f4\u96be\u5ffd\u89c6\u8fd9\u4e00\u5a01\u80c1\u3002\u572811\u6708\u7684\u66f4\u65b0\u4e2d\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u526f\u884c\u957f\u535a\u5fb7\u91cc\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u4f4f\u623f\u9700\u6c42\u6765\u81ea\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u548c\u91cd\u590d\u8d2d\u623f\u8005\uff1b\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8d2d\u4e70\u7684\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u957f\u4e86100%\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u91cd\u590d\u8d2d\u623f\u8005\u548c\u9996\u6b21\u8d2d\u623f\u8005\u5206\u522b\u589e\u957f\u4e86\u7ea660%\u548c40%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7a81\u7136\u6d8c\u5165\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u6211\u4eec\u4eca\u5e74\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u770b\u5230\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u5feb\u901f\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u201d\u535a\u5fb7\u91cc\u8bf4\u3002\u201c\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u9884\u671f\u53ef\u4ee5\u81ea\u6211\u5b9e\u73b0\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\u3002\u8fd9\u4f1a\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u9762\u4e34\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u4fee\u6b63\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uff08\u661f\u661f\u751f\u6d3b\/\u6377\u514b\u4f73\uff09\u6839\u636e\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u5bf9\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e24\u5e74\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u5ba1\u67e5\uff0c\u5168\u56fd\u4f4f\u623f\u7d27\u7f29\u7684\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5df2\u7ecf\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4e2d\u90e8\u7684\u6700\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u8fc7\u5ea6\u9700\u6c42\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6765\u81ea\u6295\u8d44\u8005\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5bb6\u5ead\u3002 \u636e\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u90ae\u62a5\u300b\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u526f\u884c\u957f\u5468\u4e8c\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6d8c\u5165\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u63a8\u52a8\u5bf9\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u5916\u63a8\u6027\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u9762\u4e34\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u56de\u8c03\u673a\u4f1a\u3002 \u56f0\u6270\u52a0\u62ff&#8230;<br \/><a class=\"read-more-button\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=63443\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":63444,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[3],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63443"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=63443"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63443\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":63446,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63443\/revisions\/63446"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/63444"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=63443"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=63443"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=63443"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}