{"id":38279,"date":"2012-12-08T01:07:44","date_gmt":"2012-12-08T06:07:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=38279"},"modified":"2012-12-09T01:17:53","modified_gmt":"2012-12-09T06:17:53","slug":"20121208%e4%b8%8b%e4%b8%8d%e4%b8%ba%e4%be%8b-%e6%80%bb%e7%90%86%e5%93%88%e7%8f%80%e6%89%b9%e5%87%86%e4%b8%ad%e6%b5%b7%e6%b2%b9%e5%b9%b6%e5%b0%bc%e5%85%8b%e6%a3%ae","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=38279","title":{"rendered":"20121208\/\u4e0b\u4e0d\u4e3a\u4f8b \u603b\u7406\u54c8\u73c0\u6279\u51c6\u4e2d\u6d77\u6cb9\u5e76\u5c3c\u514b\u68ee"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\n

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\u4e2d\u6d77\u6cb9\u5e76\u8d2d\u5c3c\u514b\u68ee\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u8c08\u5224\u4eca\u5e745\u6708\u8fdb\u5165\u4e00\u4e2a\u9ad8\u6f6e\uff0c\u6b64\u65f6\u54c8\u73c0\u603b\u7406\u4e5f\u5f00\u59cb\u5173\u6ce8\u5230\u5916\u56fd\u6295\u8d44\u5bf9\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6cb9\u7802\u7530\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u4eca\u5e746\u6708\u4e00\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u54c8\u73c0\u542c\u53d6\u4e86\u56db\u4f4d\u5b66\u8005\u548c\u524d\u5b98\u5458\u9610\u8ff0\u4e86\u5173\u4e8e\u5982\u4f55\u4e0e\u4e9a\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u8fdb\u884c\u5546\u4e1a\u5f80\u6765\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u56db\u4f4d\u4e13\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u4ed4\u7ec6\u7814\u62df\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u4e9a\u6d32\u5546\u8d38\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u653f\u5e9c\u80fd\u66f4\u591a\u5730\u4fdd\u969c\u56fd\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u89e3\u91ca\u8bf4\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u4e9a\u6d32\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u4e0e\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u201c\u8b6c\u5982\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5df4\u897f\u900f\u8fc7\u4e00\u4e9b\u4f01\u4e1a\u6210\u4e3a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u65b0\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u76f4\u63a5\u5916\u56fd\u6295\u8d44\u6765\u6e90\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u80af\u5b9a\u53d7\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5df4\u897f\u653f\u5e9c\u975e\u5e02\u573a\u5316\u601d\u7ef4\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u201d\u603b\u7406\u54c8\u73c0\u8046\u542c\u56db\u4f4d\u4e13\u5bb6\u7684\u610f\u89c1\u5e76\u94ed\u8bb0\u5728\u5fc3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u6d77\u6cb9\u4eca\u5e747\u6708\u6b63\u5f0f\u51fa\u4ef7151\u4ebf\u5143\u6216\u6bcf\u80a127.5\u5143\u8d2d\u4e70\u5c3c\u514b\u68ee\u5e76\u5728\u5ba3\u5e03\u5e76\u8d2d\u63d0\u8bae\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5929\uff0c\u5c31\u5f00\u59cb\u96c7\u4eba\u8fdb\u884c\u6e38\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u6d77\u6cb9\u96c7\u8bf7Hill and Knowlton\u516c\u53f8\u5f00\u59cb\u6e38\u8bf4\uff0c\u671f\u5180\u5728\u8ba8\u597d\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u516c\u4f17\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5bfb\u627e\u6700\u7ec8\u5b9e\u73b0\u5e76\u8d2d\u7684\u6b63\u786e\u6b65\u9aa4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6e38\u8bf4\u5148\u4ece\u6e25\u592a\u534e\u56fd\u4f1a\u5c71\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u6e38\u8bf4\u4e13\u5bb6\u4e0e\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u3001\u56fd\u8d38\u90e8\u3001\u5de5\u4e1a\u90e8\u548c\u67a2\u5bc6\u9662\u7b49\u9ad8\u9636\u5b98\u5458\u4f1a\u9762\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u518d\u6269\u5c55\u81f3\u5176\u4ed6\u90e8\u95e8\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u8fd8\u5bf9\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u6b64\u5e76\u8d2d\u6848\u5173\u952e\u4eba\u7269\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u4e9a\u4f2f\u8fbe\u7701\u7701\u957f\u8fdb\u884c\u6e38\u8bf4\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u77ff\u4e1a\u5de8\u64d8\u5fc5\u548c\u5fc5\u62d3\uff08BHP\uff09\u516c\u53f8\u5e76\u8d2d\u6c99\u7701\u94be\u77ff\u516c\u53f8\uff08Potash Corp\uff09\u65f6\uff0c\u56e0\u672a\u83b7\u5f97\u6c99\u7701\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u9996\u80af\u800c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5176\u5931\u8d25\u3002\u4e2d\u6d77\u6cb9\u4e5f\u79ef\u6781\u53c2\u4e0e\u793e\u533a\u4e00\u4e9b\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u53c2\u52a0\u4e86\u4eca\u5e74\u79cb\u5b63\u5361\u52a0\u5229\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\u6e38\u6c11\u7684\u6148\u5584\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u54c8\u73c0\u5728\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u515a\u5185\u4e5f\u9762\u4e34\u653f\u6cbb\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u4ee5\u9601\u5458\u5eb7\u5c3c\u4e3a\u9996\u7684\u6570\u4e2a\u515a\u56e2\u6838\u5fc3\u6210\u5458\u90fd\u8868\u793a\u53cd\u5bf9\u4e2d\u6d77\u6cb9\u5e76\u8d2d\u6848\uff0c\u62c5\u5fe7\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4f1a\u4e0e\u4eba\u6743\u7eaa\u5f55\u6b20\u4f73\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u63a7\u5236\u4e0b\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\u505a\u751f\u610f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4fdd\u5b88\u515a\u7c4d\u56fd\u4f1a\u8bae\u5458\u8d1d\u8d5e\uff08James Bezan\uff09\u5728\u7ed9\u81ea\u5df1\u9009\u533a\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u4e00\u5c01\u4fe1\u4e2d\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u5f3a\u70c8\u53cd\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5e76\u8d2d\u6848\u3002\u9274\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u826f\u7684\u4eba\u6743\u7eaa\u5f55\u548c\u5bf9\u81ea\u7531\u7684\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u6211\u5411\u5185\u9601\u548c\u603b\u7406\u76f4\u63a5\u8bf4\u51fa\u6211\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u6211\u7279\u522b\u53cd\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u8425\u516c\u53f8\u5e76\u8d2d\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u516c\u53f8\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u5176\u4ed6\u53cd\u5bf9\u4eba\u58eb\u5219\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u8054\u90a6\u4fdd\u5b88\u515a\u7684\u539f\u5219\uff0c\u516c\u5f00\u5bf9\u6b64\u5e76\u8d2d\u6848\u63d0\u51fa\u53cd\u5bf9\u610f\u89c1\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6765\u81ea\u5b89\u7701\u4f26\u6566\u7684\u4fdd\u5b88\u515a\u56fd\u4f1a\u8bae\u5458\u970d\u5c14\u5fb7\uff08Ed Holder\uff09\uff0c\u4eca\u5e7410\u6708\u5728\u6bcf\u5468\u65f6\u4e8b\u7b80\u8baf\u4e0a\u5bf9\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u662f\u653f\u5e9c\u539f\u5219\u4e0a\u52aa\u529b\u51cf\u5c11\u5bf9\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6279\u51c6\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fd\u8425\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u5e76\u8d2d\u6848\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u6211\u4eec\u515a\u7684\u539f\u5219\u4e0d\u76f8\u5bb9\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u603b\u7406\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6311\u6218\u662f\uff1a\u5728\u4e0d\u5f97\u7f6a\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\u4e0e\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5173\u4e0a\u5927\u95e8\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u627e\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u5e73\u8861\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eca\u5e7411\u6708\uff0c\u719f\u6089\u7684\u573a\u666f\u518d\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u6b64\u5e76\u8d2d\u6848\u7684\u5ba1\u6838\u671f\u9650\u53c8\u88ab\u63a8\u5ef6\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u5f00\u653e\u505a\u751f\u610f\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u51fa\u5356\u81ea\u5df1\u201d\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u653f\u6cbb\u6d41\u884c\u8bed\u3002<\/p>\n

12\u6708\u521d\uff0c\u5f53\u5eb7\u5c3c\u88ab\u95ee\u53ca\u662f\u5426\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u7acb\u573a\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u6697\u793a\u603b\u7406\u54c8\u73c0\u5df2\u7ecf\u627e\u5230\u4e86\u5e73\u8861\u70b9\uff0c\u201c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u603b\u7406\u5df2\u7ecf\u6210\u529f\u5730\u627e\u5230\u4e86\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6240\u5e0c\u671b\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u4e13\u5bb6\uff1a\u4e25\u683c\u5ba1\u67e5 \u96be\u963b\u5916\u8d44<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5361\u52a0\u52297\u65e5\u7535\/\u54c8\u73c0\u603b\u74067\u65e5\u5ba3\u5e03\u6279\u51c6\u4e86\u4e24\u5b97\u4e0a\u767e\u4ebf\u5143\u7684\u5916\u8d44\u5e76\u8d2d\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u80fd\u6e90\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u7533\u8bf7\u6848\uff0c\u800c\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u54c8\u73c0\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4eca\u540e\u5916\u56fd\u56fd\u8425\u516c\u53f8\u7533\u8bf7\u6536\u8d2d\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5927\u578b\u4f01\u4e1a\u65f6\uff0c\u5c06\u63a5\u53d7\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u66f4\u4e3a\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u5ba1\u6838\u3002\u7136\u800c\u4e13\u5bb6\u5219\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5916\u56fd\u8d44\u4ea7\u4ecd\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u6295\u5165\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u80fd\u6e90\u9886\u57df\u3002<\/p>\n

\u603b\u7406\u54c8\u73c0\u5728\u5ba3\u5e03\u6279\u51c6\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u6d0b\u77f3\u6cb9\u603b\u516c\u53f8\u5e76\u8d2d\u5c3c\u514b\u68ee\u77f3\u6cb9\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u56fd\u8425\u77f3\u6cb9\u516c\u53f8\u5e76\u8d2d\u8fdb\u6b65\u80fd\u6e90\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u65e5\u540e\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u9650\u5236\u66f4\u591a\u5916\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5916\u56fd\u56fd\u8425\u516c\u53f8\u5bf9\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6cb9\u7802\u77ff\u5f00\u53d1\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u8868\u6001\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5f15\u8d77\u5546\u4e1a\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6\u7684\u4e0d\u5b89\uff0c\u4e13\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u5916\u8d44\u4ecd\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u6ce8\u5165\u6cb9\u7802\u4e1a\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u8054\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0d\u518d\u6279\u51c6\u8f70\u52a8\u4e00\u65f6\u7684\u5927\u578b\u6536\u8d2d\u6848\uff0c\u4f46\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u5c0f\u7684\u5c0f\u578b\u4ea4\u6613\u4ecd\u4f1a\u7a33\u6b65\u8fdb\u884c\u3002\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u534f\u4f1a\uff08Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers\uff09\u526f\u4f1a\u957f\u65bd\u9756\u6602\uff08Greg Stringham\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u8ff9\u8c61\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5408\u8d44\u516c\u53f8\u3001\u5c11\u6570\u80a1\u6743\u6295\u8d44\u4ee5\u53ca\u5c0f\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u6536\u8d2d\u4ea4\u6613\u5c06\u88ab\u627c\u6740\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c31\u5728\u4e09\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u4e2d\u77f3\u6cb9\u516c\u53f8\uff08 PetroChina\uff09\u4e0e\u963f\u8428\u5df4\u65af\u5361\u6cb9\u7802\u516c\u53f8\uff08Athabasca Oil Sands Corp.\uff09\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5408\u8d44\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u5f15\u8d77\u4efb\u4f55\u653f\u6cbb\u6297\u8bae\u3002\u4e2d\u77f3\u6cb9\u516c\u53f8\u968f\u540e\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\u5168\u9762\u63a7\u5236\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u6cb9\u7802\u9879\u76ee\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u77f3\u6cb9\u5316\u5de5\u96c6\u56e2\u65d7\u4e0b\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u77f3\u6cb9\u52d8\u63a2\u5f00\u53d1\u6709\u9650\u516c\u53f8\uff08Sinopec International Petroleum Exploration and Production Corp.\uff09\u4e5f\u66fe\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f979%\u7684\u80a1\u6743\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e0eSyncrude\u516c\u53f8\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u8fd9\u8d77\u6848\u4f8b\u540c\u6837\u672a\u5f15\u8d77\u8f69\u7136\u5927\u6ce2\u3002\u800c\u4ee5\u4e0a\u8fd9\u4e24\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u6d0b\u77f3\u6cb9\u603b\u516c\u53f8\u4e00\u6837\u5c5e\u4e8e\u56fd\u8425\u4f01\u4e1a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u65bd\u9756\u6602\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u80fd\u6e90\u884c\u4e1a\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u989d\u4e3a610\u4ebf\u5143\uff0c\u8fdc\u8fdc\u8d85\u8fc7\u5168\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u4f9b\u7ed9\u91cf\u3002\u5c31\u6b64\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u80fd\u6e90\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u6709\u76ca\u4e8e\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6c11\u4f17\uff0c\u7528\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u8bdd\u8bf4\u662f\u201c\u7b26\u5408\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7684\u51c0\u5229\u76ca\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u8d44\u4ea7\u6295\u8d44\u7ba1\u7406\u516c\u53f8\uff08First Asset Investment Management\uff09\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u7ecf\u7406\u53f2\u8482\u82ac\u900a\uff08John Stephenson\uff09\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8054\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u672a\u6765\u4ecd\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5438\u6536\u5916\u8d44\uff0c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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