\u4e16\u754c\u65e5\u62a5\/\u5927\u591a\u6570\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4eba\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u51ac\u5b63\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u5f80\u5e74\u7684\u9177\u5bd2\u548c\u5927\u98ce\u96ea\u5929\u6c14\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u8fd9\u4e0e\u4e00\u79cd\u53eb\u505a\u201c\u5317\u6781\u9707\u8361\u201d\uff08Arctic oscillation\uff09\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u5f0f\u6709\u5173\u3002\u81ea\u53bb\u5e74\u79cb\u5b63\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u4ec5\u670911\u5929\u5929\u6c14\u5728\u96f6\u5ea6\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u800c\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u5219\u670928\u5929\u3002\u4e1c\u5cb8\u7684\u54c8\u5229\u6cd5\u514b\u65af\u96f6\u5ea6\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u8f83\u4e4b\u53bb\u5e74\u5219\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u4e00\u534a\uff0c\u800c\u897f\u90e8\u8349\u539f\u7701\u4efd\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u7a81\u88ad\u800c\u6765\u5e76\u7ef4\u6301\u4e00\u5468\u7684\u4e25\u5bd2\u5929\u6c14\uff0c\u4f46\u6e29\u5ea6\u8fd1\u65e5\u5df2\u5f88\u5feb\u4fbf\u6062\u590d\u5e76\u8d85\u8fc7\u540c\u671f\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6c14\u6e29\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u56fd\u822a\u7a7a\u66a8\u592a\u7a7a\u603b\u7f72\uff08NASA\uff09\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u5e15\u624e\u7279\uff08Bill Patzert\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8f83\u4e4b\u53bb\u5e74\u51ac\u5b63\u5bd2\u51b7\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u72b6\u51b5\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u8fd9\u5176\u5b9e\u662f\u201c\u5317\u6781\u9707\u8361\u201d\u5728\u4f5c\u795f\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u590d\u6742\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u5f0f\u662f\u6307\uff0c\u5f53\u201c\u5317\u6781\u9707\u8361\u201d\u6307\u6570\u4e3a\u6b63\u503c\u65f6\uff0c\u4f1a\u628a\u6781\u5730\u55b7\u5c04\u7684\u5bd2\u51b7\u6c14\u6d41\u63a7\u5236\u5728\u5317\u6781\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u6291\u5236\u5bd2\u6d41\u5357\u4e0b\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u6b27\u4e9a\u5927\u9646\u5317\u90e8\u53ca\u5317\u7f8e\u6d32\u5317\u90e8\u7684\u51ac\u5b63\u6c14\u6e29\u8f83\u4f8b\u5e74\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u6696\u51ac\uff1b\u53cd\u4e4b\uff0c\u5f53\u201c\u5317\u6781\u9707\u8361\u201d\u6307\u6570\u4e3a\u8d1f\u503c\u65f6\u4fbf\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u5317\u534a\u7403\u4e2d\u7eac\u5ea6\u5730\u5e26\u51ac\u5b63\u4e25\u5bd2\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u201c\u5317\u6781\u9707\u8361\u201d\u8fd9\u79cd\u5929\u6c14\u6a21\u5f0f\u6839\u672c\u65e0\u6cd5\u63d0\u524d\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u5728\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u5f81\u5146\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4fbf\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7531\u6b63\u503c\u53d8\u6210\u8d1f\u503c\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\u622a\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u201c\u5317\u6781\u9707\u8361\u201d\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u51ac\u5b63\u6301\u7eed\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u6b63\u503c\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u9020\u6210\u5168\u56fd\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5730\u533a\u6ca1\u6709\u770b\u5230\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u51b0\u5929\u96ea\u5730\u3002\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u73af\u5883\u90e8\uff08Environment Canada\uff09\u6c14\u8c61\u5b66\u5bb6\u83f2\u5229\u666e\uff08David Phillips\uff09\u8bf4\uff0c\u6446\u7740\u6307\u5934\u6570\u4e00\u6570\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u53d1\u73b0\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u51ac\u5929\u88ab\u53d6\u6d88\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n
\u800c\u5c31\u5728\u524d\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u6c14\u8c61\u5b66\u5bb6\u66fe\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5c06\u7ecf\u5386\u4e00\u4e2a\u8f83\u4e4b\u5f80\u5e74\u66f4\u52a0\u5bd2\u51b7\u7684\u51ac\u5929\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bbe\u5dde\uff08Pennsylvania\uff09\u7684\u4e00\u5bb6\u6c14\u8c61\u516c\u53f8\u8fd8\u63d0\u9192\u8bf4\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u897f\u90e8\u5c06\u8fce\u6765\u8fd120\u5e74\u6765\u6700\u5bd2\u51b7\u7684\u51ac\u5b63\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u73af\u5883\u90e8\u4e5f\u53d1\u51fa\u7c7b\u4f3c\u8b66\u544a\u3002\u800c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6c14\u8c61\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u5f97\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ed3\u8bba\u5219\u662f\u6839\u636e\u201c\u5723\u5a74\u73b0\u8c61\u201d\uff08La Nina\uff09\u3002\u901a\u5e38\uff0c\u201c\u5723\u5a74\u73b0\u8c61\u201d\u662f\u7531\u6307\u5982\u679c\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u8868\u9762\u6e29\u5ea6\u6bd4\u5f80\u5e38\u53d8\u51b7\uff0c\u5219\u5c06\u4f1a\u7ed9\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5730\u533a\u6216\u7f8e\u56fd\u5317\u90e8\u5e26\u6765\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u964d\u6c34\u548c\u5bd2\u51b7\u5929\u6c14\u30022010\u5e74\u6b63\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u201c\u5723\u5a74\u73b0\u8c61\u201d\uff0c\u624d\u7ed9\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u4e2a\u57ce\u5e02\u5e26\u6765\u7834\u574f\u6027\u98d3\u98ce\u5929\u6c14\u3001\u9020\u6210\u822a\u73ed\u53d6\u6d88\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u7f8e\u56fd\u6709\u591a\u4e2a\u57ce\u5e02\u88ab\u66b4\u96ea\u8986\u76d6\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u51ac\u5b63\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u6b63\u597d\u4e0e\u6c14\u8c61\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5ba4\u5916\u6ed1\u96ea\u8fd0\u52a8\u7231\u597d\u8005\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u65e0\u7591\u662f\u4e2a\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\u7684\u51ac\u5929\u3002\u6c99\u65af\u5361\u5176\u65fa\u7701\u4e0e\u7f05\u5c3c\u6258\u5df4\u7701\u6709\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u96ea\u5730\u8f66\u6ed1\u96ea\u573a\u56e0\u5730\u4e0a\u79ef\u96ea\u4e0d\u591f\u800c\u5173\u95ed\u3002\u4e9a\u4f2f\u8fbe\u7701\u4e5f\u56e0\u8fde\u7eed30\u5c0f\u65f6\u964d\u96e8\u800c\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u88ab\u8feb\u53d6\u6d88\u4e00\u9879\u6ed1\u96ea\u8d5b\u4e8b\u3002\u8ddd\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u4e0d\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u5c0f\u65f6\u8f66\u7a0b\u7684\u8f9b\u67ef\u6e56\uff08Lake Simcoe\uff09\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u51b0\u9493\uff08ice-fishing\uff09\u516c\u53f8\u8001\u677f\u57c3\u65af\u5229\uff08Andrew Emsley\uff09\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u4eca\u5e741\u6708\u4efd\u6c14\u6e29\u8fd8\u662f\u5f02\u5e38\u7684\u9ad8\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u8fd110\u5e74\u6765\u7ecf\u8425\u6700\u56f0\u96be\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u3002\u57c3\u65af\u5229\u8bf4\uff0c\u897f\u8f9b\u67ef\u6e56\u7ea6\u670912\u4e2a\u51b0\u9493\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u4f46\u76ee\u524d\u53ea\u67094\u5bb6\u8fd8\u5728\u8425\u4e1a\uff0c\u5176\u4f59\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u90fd\u5173\u95e8\u5927\u5409\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n
\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6c14\u8c61\u5b66\u5bb6\u7eb7\u7eb7\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u8ba4\u4e3a\u201c\u5317\u6781\u9707\u8361\u201d\u6307\u6570\u4f1a\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u8d1f\u503c\u3002\u83f2\u5229\u666e\u8bf4\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u5c06\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u6700\u6e29\u6696\u7684\u51ac\u5b63\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6240\u6709\u5730\u533a\u90fd\u662f\u6e29\u548c\u5929\u6c14\uff0c\u7ebd\u82ac\u5170\u66a8\u62c9\u5e03\u62c9\u591a\u7701\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u5730\u533a\u4f9d\u65e7\u8fce\u6765\u6b63\u5e38\u7684\u964d\u96ea\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4eca\u51ac\u5929\u6c14\u5982\u81ea\u52a9\u9910\u5e94\u6709\u5c3d\u6709 \u7279\u522b\u6ce8\u610f\u9a7e\u9a76\u73af\u5883\u5dee<\/strong><\/p>\n \u661f\u5c9b\u65e5\u62a5\/\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5468\u672b\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u98ce\u96ea\u4ea4\u52a0\u7684\u51ac\u5b63\u5929\u6c14\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u6c14\u6e29\u9ad8\u8fc7\u5b63\u8282\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4e0a\u5929\u4ecd\u968f\u65f6\u53ef\u5236\u9020\u51fa\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u8868\u7684\u6c14\u8c61\u666f\u89c2\u3002<\/p>\n \u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u73af\u5883\u90e8\u5468\u4e94\u53d1\u51fa\u7279\u522b\u5929\u6c14\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u63d0\u9192\u9a7e\u8f66\u8005\u8981\u201c\u6781\u5176\u5c0f\u5fc3\u201d\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u9053\u8def\u4e0a\u7684\u51b0\u96ea\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u5371\u9669\u7684\u9a7e\u9a76\u73af\u5883\u3002\u5468\u516d\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u5927\u98ce\u964d\u96ea\u5929\u6c14\uff0c\u5728\u5b89\u7701\u7684\u67d0\u4e9b\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u964d\u96ea\u91cf\u5c06\u591a\u81f35\u5398\u7c73\uff0c\u98ce\u901f\u4f1a\u9ad8\u81f3\u6bcf\u5c0f\u65f670\u516c\u91cc\uff0c\u5c4a\u65f6\u9053\u8def\u60c5\u51b5\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u52a0\u7cdf\u7cd5\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u90e8\u6c14\u8c61\u5b66\u5bb6\u83f2\u814a\u65af(David Phillips)\u8bf4\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u76ee\u524d\u8fd9\u79cd\u975e\u51ac\u5b63\u7684\u201c\u6447\u6447(yo-yo)(\u5373\u4e0a\u4e0a\u843d\u843d)\u201d\u5f0f\u6c14\u6e29\u5728\u96f6\u5ea6\u4e0a\u4e0b\u5f98\u5f8a\uff0c\u4e0b\u5468\u521d\u964d\u96e8\u4f1a\u91cd\u8fd4\u5b89\u7701\u3002\u4ed6\u79f0\uff1a\u201c\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u51ac\u5b63\uff0c\u611f\u89c9\u4e0d\u50cf\u51ac\u5b63\uff0c\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4f3c\u51ac\u5b63\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u7ed9\u5b83\u6539\u4e2a\u65b0\u540d\u5b57\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n \u5f53\u6e29\u5ea6\u5728\u51b0\u51bb\u70b9\u548c\u878d\u5316\u70b9\u4e4b\u95f4\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6446\u52a8\u65f6\uff0c\u964d\u6c34\u4e5f\u5728\u96e8\u3001\u51b0\u96e8\u548c\u96ea\u4e4b\u95f4\u53d8\u6765\u53d8\u53bb\u3002\u83f2\u814a\u65af\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u7b80\u76f4\u662f\u4e94\u82b1\u516b\u95e8\u3001\u7433\u7405\u6ee1\u76ee\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u81ea\u52a9\u9910\uff0c\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u53ef\u4ee5\u51fa\u73b0\u5927\u5bb6\u53ef\u60f3\u50cf\u5230\u7684\u6240\u6709\u7c7b\u578b\u5929\u6c14\u60c5\u51b5\u548c\u964d\u6c34\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u5371\u9669\u7684\u9a7e\u9a76\u73af\u5883\u548c\u4f4e\u80fd\u89c1\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n \u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u4ee5\u5317\u7684\u5357\u5b89\u7701\u5927\u90e8\u4efd\u5730\u533a\u90fd\u6536\u5230\u51b0\u96e8\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec\u7ea6\u514b\u533a(York)\u548c\u675c\u54b8\u533a(Durham)\u3002\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u897f\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u7684\u8b66\u544a\u5728\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e2d\u5348\u65f6\u7ed3\u675f\uff0c\u4f46\u5f7c\u5f97\u5821(Peterborough)\u4e1c\u90e8\u7684\u8b66\u544a\u4ecd\u7136\u6301\u7eed\u3002<\/p>\n \u4e00\u540d\u5eff\u591a\u5c81\u7684\u4e1c\u8d35\u6797\u4f2f\u91cc\u9547(East Gwillimbury)\u5973\u5b50\u5468\u4e94\u6e05\u6668\u5728\u4e9a\u4f2f\u5c71\u8def(Mount Albert Rd)\u7684\u6e7f\u6ed1\u9053\u8def\u4e0a\u56e0\u8f66\u7978\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u7ea6\u514b\u533a\u8b66\u5458\u9ea6\u4e54\u6069(Blair McQuillan)\u8bf4\uff0c\u5979\u9a7e\u9a76\u7684\u8d8a\u91ce\u8f66\u9a76\u5165\u7684\u5bf9\u9762\u8f66\u9053\uff0c\u649e\u4e0a\u4e00\u8f86\u8fd0\u8f93\u8d27\u8f66\u540e\u51b2\u5165\u8def\u6c9f\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5b89\u7701\u7701\u8b66\u4e5f\u53d1\u51fa\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u51ac\u5b63\u9a7e\u9a76\u8b66\u544a\u3002<\/p>\n 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