{"id":25631,"date":"2011-12-03T23:58:06","date_gmt":"2011-12-04T04:58:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=25631"},"modified":"2011-12-03T23:58:36","modified_gmt":"2011-12-04T04:58:36","slug":"20111203%e4%b8%8a%e6%9c%88%e5%8d%87%e8%87%b37-4%ef%bc%85%e5%a4%b11-86%e4%b8%87%e8%81%8c-%e5%8a%a0%e5%a4%b1%e4%b8%9a%e7%8e%87%e5%bf%a7%e6%94%80%e4%b8%8a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.jackjia.com\/?p=25631","title":{"rendered":"20111203\/\u4e0a\u6708\u5347\u81f37.4\uff05\u59311.86\u4e07\u804c \u52a0\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5fe7\u6500\u4e0a8%"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u660e\u62a5\/\u52a0\u56fd\u96c7\u4e3b11\u6708\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u8868\u5730\u524a\u51cf1.86\u4e07\u804c\u4f4d\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f4\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u51fa\u73b0\u804c\u4f4d\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4ece10\u6708\u76847.3\uff05\uff0c\u5347\u81f3\u4e0a\u6708\u76847.4\uff05\uff0c\u52305\u4e2a\u6708\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8bc1\u660e\u52b3\u52a8\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u8fc7\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\u5f3a\u52bf\u540e\u8f6c\u5f31\u3002\u6709\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e08\u62c5\u5fc3\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u6500\u5347\u81f38\uff05\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u5e02\u9053\u53cd\u8986 \u96c7\u4e3b\u4e0d\u6562\u8bf7\u4eba\u751a\u81f3\u88c1\u5458<\/p>\n

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\u6ee1\u94f6\u5229\u65f6\u8bc1\u5238\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e08Robert Kavcic\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u81ea\u4eca\u5e74\u4e2d\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u52a0\u56fd\u6bcf\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u51cf\u5c112,000\u4e2a\u804c\u4f4d\uff0c\u6beb\u65e0\u7591\u95ee\u5730\u804c\u4f4d\u589e\u957f\u5df2\u663e\u8457\u56de\u843d\u3002<\/p>\n

CIBC World Markets\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e08Avery Shenfeld\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5c31\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u7eed\u5f31\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u52a0\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ecf\u8fc7\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u7684\u4eae\u4e3d\u589e\u957f\u540e\u5c06\u4f1a\u653e\u7f13\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9053\u660e\u94f6\u884c\u526f\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e08Derek Burleton\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u9884\u793a\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u5c06\u6ca1\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u6d88\u8d39\u610f\u6b32\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba111\u6708\u5de5\u8d44\u589e\u957f\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2a\u4eba\u6536\u5165\u75b2\u5f31\uff0c\u5bb6\u5ead\u8d1f\u503a\u9ad8\u4f01\uff0c\u6599\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4ee4\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5723\u8bde\u65b0\u5e74\u5ba1\u614e\u6d88\u8d39\u3002<\/p>\n

Burleton\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u52b3\u52a8\u5e02\u573a\u8fd8\u4f1a\u4f4e\u6c89\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u653f\u5e9c\u51cf\u6162\u62db\u8058\uff0c\u672c\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u5546\u4ecd\u7136\u53d7\u7d2f\u4e8e\u73af\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0d\u666f\u3002\u82e5\u628a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e0d\u5229\u56e0\u7d20\u52a0\u8d77\u6765\uff0c\u75b2\u5f31\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u5e02\u9053\u53ef\u80fd\u6301\u7eed\u81f32012\u5e74\uff0c\u5728\u672a\u6765\u534a\u5e74\u5185\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u6216\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6500\u5347\u81f37.5\uff05\u81f38\uff05\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u8f83\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u5e74\u8f7b\u4eba\u5931\u4e1a\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u66f4\u591a\u65b0\u6bd5\u4e1a\u7684\u5b66\u751f\u7ee7\u7eed\u5ff5\u4e66\uff0c\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u4e3a\u4e86\u589e\u5f3a\u7ade\u4e89\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u662f\u627e\u4e0d\u5230\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u5347\u5b66\u4ea4\u6d41\u4f1a\u4e0a\uff0c\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba\u5411\u672c\u62a5\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u5927\u5b66\u6bd5\u4e1a\u751f\u518d\u5f80\u793e\u533a\u5b66\u9662\u8fdb\u4fee\uff0c\u663e\u7136\u5730\u4ed6\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u9762\u5bf9\u73b0\u5b9e\uff0c\u4fee\u8bfb\u53ef\u4ee5\u8c0b\u751f\u7684\u5b9e\u7528\u77e5\u8bc6\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0cCapital Economics\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e08David Madani\u5219\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c11\u6708\u804c\u4f4d\u51cf\u5c11\u4ee4\u4eba\u201c\u8a51\u5f02\u201d\u53ca\u201c\u6c14\u9981\u201d\u3002\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\u5728\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u65e5\u91cd\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u8870\u9000\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u653e\u7f13\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u672c\u56fd\u5b58\u5728\u8870\u9000\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

\u96f6\u552e\u53ca\u6279\u53d1\u4e1a\u51cf3.4\u4e07\u4e2a\u804c\u4f4d<\/p>\n

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\u4ee5\u5730\u533a\u8ba1\uff0c\u9b41\u7701\u60c5\u51b5\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\uff0c\u5171\u5931\u53bb3.05\u4e07\u804c\u4f4d\uff0c\u517c\u804c\u548c\u5168\u804c\u90fd\u6709\u76f8\u5f53\u635f\u5931\u3002\u6c99\u7701\u4ea6\u89c1\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u65af\u9ad8\u6c99\u7701\u5219\u6709\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u7701\u4efd\u5927\u81f4\u65e0\u53d8\u52a8\u3002\u5351\u8bd7\u7701\u4e0a\u6708\u5219\u6d41\u59316600\u4e2a\u804c\u4f4d\uff0c\u5f53\u4e2d\u517c\u804c\u804c\u4f4d\u5927\u51cf7700\u4efd\uff0c\u4ee4\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5927\u53470.4\uff05\u81f37\uff05\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5de5\u4f1a\u9886\u8896\u53ca\u56fd\u4f1a\u8bae\u5458\u6700\u8fd1\u90fd\u547c\u5401\u8054\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u52a0\u5f3a\u523a\u6fc0\u5c31\u4e1a\uff0c\u5207\u52ff\u671f\u671b\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u60c5\u51b5\u4f1a\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5e76\u575a\u6301\u54c8\u73c0\u653f\u5e9c\u5e94\u505c\u6b62\u5728\u516c\u8425\u90e8\u95e8\u524a\u51cf\u804c\u4f4d\uff0c\u91cd\u65b0\u68c0\u8ba8\u5176\u4ed6\u7d27\u7f29\u63aa\u65bd\u662f\u5426\u53ef\u4ee5\u6682\u7f13\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8d22\u957f\u8d39\u62c9\u9016\u7684\u653f\u52a1\u6b21\u5b98(parliamentary secrectary)\u683c\u6d1b\u5f17(Shelly Glover)\u5374\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6392\u9664\u4e86\u63a8\u51fa\u65b0\u63aa\u65bd\u523a\u6fc0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u5979\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u5fc5\u987b\u575a\u5b88\u63a7\u5236\u8d64\u5b57\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u4ee5\u514d\u6b65\u6b27\u6d32\u540e\u5c18\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5931\u4e1a\u73878.6\uff05 \u4e24\u5e74\u534a\u6700\u4f4e<\/strong>
\n\u61a7\u61ac\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u6b65\u4f10\u52a0\u5feb<\/p>\n

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\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4e0b\u6ed1\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u6709\u4eba\u79bb\u5f00\u5c31\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u4e0d\u518d\u5bfb\u627e\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u4f46\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u9010\u5bb6\u9010\u6237\u6240\u505a\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u4e5f\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u786e\u5b9e\u6709\u6240\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/p>\n

TD Securities\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5b8f\u89c2\u7b56\u7565\u5e08Millan Mulraine\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ee7\u7eed\u671d\u6b63\u786e\u65b9\u5411\u8fc8\u6b65\u3002\u4f46\u82e5\u8981\u51fa\u73b0\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u590d\u82cf\uff0c\u5219\u9700\u8981\u521b\u9020\u66f4\u591a\u5c31\u4e1a\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u4ee5\u652f\u6301\u4e00\u4e2a\u7531\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u5e26\u52a8\u7684\u53cd\u5f39\u3002\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u62a5\u544a\u6ca1\u6709\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8bbf\u67e5\u96c7\u4e3b\u5f97\u51fa\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\uff0c\u65b0\u589e\u6570\u5b57\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u7565\u5fae\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c10\u6708\u7ecf\u8c03\u6574\u8fc7\u540e\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u5b57\u4e0a\u5347\u4e8610\u4e07\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u5b57\u4e0d\u4f1a\u51cf\u8f7b\u603b\u7edf\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c(Barack Obama)\u6240\u9762\u5bf9\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u660e\u5e7411\u6708\u5c06\u4e3e\u884c\u603b\u7edf\u9009\u4e3e\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u660e\u62a5\/\u52a0\u56fd\u96c7\u4e3b11\u6708\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u8868\u5730\u524a\u51cf1.86\u4e07\u804c\u4f4d\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f4\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u51fa\u73b0\u804c\u4f4d\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4ece10\u6708\u76847.3\uff05\uff0c\u5347\u81f3\u4e0a\u6708\u76847.4\uff05\uff0c\u52305\u4e2a\u6708\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8bc1\u660e\u52b3\u52a8\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u8fc7\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\u5f3a\u52bf\u540e\u8f6c\u5f31\u3002\u6709\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e08\u62c5\u5fc3\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u6500\u5347\u81f38\uff05\u3002 \u636e\u5f6d\u535a\u901a\u8baf\u793e\u8bbf\u95ee\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u6240\u5f97\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u539f\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u52a0\u56fd\u4e8e11\u6708\u589e\u52a02\u4e07\u4e2a\u65b0\u804c\u4f4d\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387…
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