2007\u5e745\u670830\u65e53:3:46(\u4eac\u6e2f\u53f0\u65f6\u95f4) –\u591a\u7ef4\u65b0\u95fb\u7f51 <\/p>\n
\u4e9a\u6d32\u65f6\u62a5Axel Berkofsky\u64b0\u6587\/\u82f1\u56fd\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u4e13\u680f\u4f5c\u5bb6\u62c9\u8d6b\u66fc\uff08Gideon Rachman\uff09\u4eca\u5e74\u4e8c\u6708\u66fe\u8c08\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u80dc\u65bc\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u4ed6\u5199\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u4e00\u6bb5\u5386\u53f2\u65f6\u671f\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u52a8\u4efb\u4f55\u6218\u4e89\u3002\u201d\u65e0\u7591\uff0c\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u5931\u8d25\u8ba9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5f62\u8c61\u65e5\u76ca\u4e11\u5316\u3002\u5bf9\u65bc\u5c06\u201c\u548c\u5e73\u5d1b\u8d77\u201d\u3001\u201c\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u6c11\u4e3b\u5316\u201d\u4ee5\u53ca\u201c\u6784\u5efa\u548c\u8c10\u56fd\u9645\u793e\u4f1a\u201d\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5916\u4ea4\u6218\u7565\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4fb5\u7565\u522b\u56fd\u7684\u5386\u53f2\uff0c\u5f53\u7136\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e0d\u9519\u7684\u8d77\u6b65\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5728\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u671f\u7684\u300a\u8fdc\u4e1c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8bc4\u8bba\u300b\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e3b\u7f16\u96f7\u65af\u5854\u5c14\uff08Hugo Restall\uff09\u5374\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5916\u754c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u5b89\u5168\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\u8fd8\u4e0d\u591f\u900f\u5f7b\u3002\u4ed6\u5199\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u5fc5\u987b\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u5df2\u628a\u4e00\u5ea7\u2018\u7279\u6d1b\u4f0a\u6728\u9a6c\u2019\u8fce\u8fdb\u4e86\u56fd\u9645\u793e\u4f1a\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u65bc\u5317\u4eac\u7684\u201c\u771f\u6b63\u201d\u5916\u4ea4\u6218\u7565\u76ee\u6807\u4e86\u89e3\u4e0d\u591a\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u663e\u800c\u6613\u89c1\u7684\u4e00\u70b9\uff1a\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2\u51c6\u5907\u597d\u91cd\u5efa\u5b83\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u8005\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
\u6709\u5206\u6790\u5bb6\u548c\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u51c6\u4f1a\u6709\u4e00\u4e24\u4e2a\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u6599\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u6216\u5b89\u5168\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u800c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5df2\u80f8\u6709\u6210\u7af9\u3002\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u76df\u90fd\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u88ab\u52a8\u5730\u5bf9\u56fd\u9645\u65f6\u4e8b\u548c\u5371\u673a\u4f5c\u51fa\u53cd\u6620\uff0c\u800c\u5317\u4eac\u5374\u529b\u56fe\u4ece\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u3001\u5168\u65b9\u4f4d\u5730\u5bf9\u56fd\u9645\u52a8\u6001\u4f5c\u51fa\u957f\u8fdc\u7684\u89c4\u5212\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u5b89\u5168\u8bae\u7a0b\u4e0a\uff0c\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u6bcf\u9879\u76ee\u6807\u90fd\u5b9a\u4e0b\u67d0\u4e2a\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u671f\u9650\uff0c\u800c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u957f\u8fdc\u6218\u7565\u89c4\u5212\u4e5f\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n
\u51fa\u65bc\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u9ad8\u901f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5bf9\u80fd\u6e90\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8ba1\u5212\u52302010\u5e74\uff0c\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u975e\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7684\u53cc\u8fb9\u8d38\u6613\u589e\u52a0\u4e00\u500d\uff0c\u52302012\u5e74\u5168\u9762\u5b9e\u884c\u4e0e\u4e1c\u76df\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\uff0c\u52302020\u5e74\u8fd8\u5c06\u7275\u5934\u5efa\u7acb\u201c\u4e1c\u4e9a\u5171\u540c\u4f53\u201d\u7b49\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e0d\u7ba1\u4f60\u4fe1\u4e0d\u4fe1\uff08\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u4e5f\u8bb8\u4e0d\u4fe1\uff09\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4ece\u4e0d\u541d\u556c\u65bc\u516c\u5f00\u548c\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u62b1\u8d1f\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4e5f\u4ece\u4e0d\u5728\u610f\u56fd\u9645\u793e\u4f1a\u6279\u8bc4\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fdb\u884c\u201c\u4e0d\u53d7\u89c2\u5ff5\u5236\u8098\u201d\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\uff0c\u5373\u4e0e\u8d44\u6e90\u4e30\u5bcc\u7684\u72ec\u88c1\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fdb\u884c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\u3002<\/p>\n
\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5171\u8bc6VS\u5317\u4eac\u5171\u8bc6<\/p>\n
\u4e0d\u7ba1\u4f60\u559c\u4e0d\u559c\u6b22\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u5185\u5bb9\uff0c\u4fbf\u662f\u5411\u975e\u6d32\u3001\u4e1c\u5357\u4e9a\u3001\u5357\u4e9a\u548c\u4e2d\u4e9a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u63d0\u4f9b\u65e0\u9644\u52a0\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u63f4\u52a9\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u90fd\u4e0d\u559c\u6b22\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fd9\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5728\u5185\u7684\u4eba\u6216\u673a\u6784\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4f26\u6566\u201c\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u4e2d\u5fc3\u201d\u5206\u6790\u5bb6\u96f7\u9ed8\uff08Joshua Cooper Ramo\uff09\uff0c\u66fe\u57282004\u5e74\u5c06\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6a21\u5f0f\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e3a\u201c\u5317\u4eac\u5171\u8bc6\u201d\uff08Beijing consensus\uff09\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u6a21\u5f0f\u4e0e\u897f\u65b9\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u533a\u522b\u5728\u65bc\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u5916\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u63f4\u52a9\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u8981\u6c42\u53d7\u63f4\u52a9\u65b9\u63a8\u884c\u6c11\u4e3b\u3001\u63d0\u9ad8\u900f\u660e\u5ea6\u3001\u5b9e\u884c\u6cd5\u6cbb\u548c\u4fdd\u62a4\u4eba\u6743\u7b49\u8ba9\u72ec\u88c1\u653f\u5e9c\u611f\u5230\u5934\u75db\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u800c\u7531\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6240\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u201c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5171\u8bc6\u201d\uff08Washington consensus\uff09\uff0c\u5219\u6070\u6070\u76f8\u53cd\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6beb\u65e0\u7591\u95ee\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u975e\u6d32\u548c\u4e2d\u4e9a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u72ec\u88c1\u653f\u6743\uff0c\u5f53\u7136\u4f1a\u6b22\u8fce\u4e2d\u56fd\u201c\u8f6f\u5b9e\u529b\u201d\u53ca\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u63f4\u52a9\u7684\u5230\u6765\uff0c\u4ee5\u53d6\u4ee3\u6b27\u7f8e\u7684\u6709\u6761\u4ef6\u63f4\u52a9\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7136\u800c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8f6f\u5b9e\u529b\u4e0e\u7ea6\u745f\u592b\uff0e\u5948\u4f0a\uff08Joseph Nye\uff09\u57281990\u5e74\u6240\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u201c\u8f6f\u5b9e\u529b\u201d\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u6709\u533a\u522b\u7684\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u975e\u6d32\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u66f4\u7c7b\u8fd1\u65bc\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u5f3a\u6743\u653f\u6cbb\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u786e\u4fdd\u81ea\u8eab\u80fd\u6e90\u4f9b\u5e94\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u727a\u7272\u4e86\u90a3\u4e9b\u4e0d\u80fd\u5411\u5176\u63d0\u4f9b\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u6ee1\u8db3\u5176\u5b83\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5317\u4eac\u5f53\u5c40\u5f53\u7136\u4e0d\u4f1a\u63a5\u53d7\u8fd9\u79cd\u8bf4\u6cd5\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4e00\u76f4\u5ba3\u79f0\u4e0e\u975e\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u5c55\u5173\u7cfb\u662f\u201c\u4e92\u5229\u4e92\u60e0\u201d\u7684\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5411\u975e\u6d32\u63d0\u4f9b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u63f4\u52a9\uff0c\u4e3a\u5176\u4fee\u5efa\u516c\u8def\u3001\u9152\u5e97\u548c\u673a\u573a\u7b49\uff1b\u800c\u975e\u6d32\u5219\u5411\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5176\u5b83\u5546\u54c1\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u53cc\u8d62\u7684\u5c40\u9762\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5f53\u5c40\u4e00\u5411\u5949\u884c\u201c\u4e92\u4e0d\u5e72\u9884\u5185\u653f\u201d\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u539f\u5219\u3002\u6362\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u50cf\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u5728\u4eba\u6743\u548c\u5f02\u89c1\u538b\u5236\u7b49\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\uff0c\u6279\u8bc4\u90a3\u4e9b\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u53d1\u5c55\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u4e13\u5236\u56fd\u5bb6\u30022005\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u5b66\u9662\u6388\u4e88\u4e86\u6d25\u5df4\u5e03\u97e6\u72ec\u88c1\u7edf\u6cbb\u8005\u7a46\u52a0\u8d1d\uff08Robert Mugabe\uff09\u4ee5\u8363\u8a89\u6559\u6388\u7684\u79f0\u53f7\u3002\u540c\u5e745\u6708\uff0c\u4e4c\u5179\u522b\u514b\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0b\u4ee4\u6b66\u529b\u9547\u538b\u4e00\u7fa4\u548c\u5e73\u793a\u5a01\u8005\uff0c\u800c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5374\u5728\u51e0\u5929\u540e\uff0c\u4e0e\u4e4c\u65b9\u7b7e\u8ba2\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5408\u4f5c\u534f\u8bae\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u653f\u5e9c\u65e5\u524d\u5df2\u51b3\u5b9a\u5c06\u4efb\u547d\u4e00\u540d\u5916\u4ea4\u9ad8\u5b98\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e9a\u6d32\u7279\u4f7f\uff0c\u534f\u52a9\u89e3\u51b3\u82cf\u4e39\u8fbe\u5c14\u798f\u5c14\uff08Darfur\uff09\u5730\u533a\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5371\u673a\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u5e72\u9884\u522b\u56fd\u5185\u653f\u7684\u539f\u5219\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6709\u6240\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002<\/p>\n
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\u300a\u6d1b\u6749\u77f6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u8bb0\u8005\u5b5f\u6377\u6155\uff08James Mann\uff09\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5f53\u5c40\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u8fc7\u65bc\u8f6f\u5f31\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u60dc\u4ee3\u4ef7\u4e0e\u5317\u4eac\u8fdb\u884c\u63a5\u89e6\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u624d\u662f\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u6240\u5728\u3002\u4ed6\u5728\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u65b0\u4e66\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e7b\u60f3\u66f2\u300b\uff08The China Fantasy: How Our Leaders Explain Away Chinese Repression\uff09\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\u5728\u5bf9\u534e\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u9762\u90fd\u4e0d\u613f\u6b63\u89c6\u73b0\u5b9e\u3002<\/p>\n
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2007\u5e745\u670830\u65e53:3:46(\u4eac\u6e2f\u53f0\u65f6\u95f4) –\u591a\u7ef4\u65b0\u95fb\u7f51 \u4e9a\u6d32\u65f6\u62a5Axel Berkofsky\u64b0\u6587\/\u82f1\u56fd\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u4e13\u680f\u4f5c\u5bb6\u62c9\u8d6b\u66fc\uff08Gideon Rachman\uff09\u4eca\u5e74\u4e8c\u6708\u66fe\u8c08\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u80dc\u65bc\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u4ed6\u5199\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u4e00\u6bb5\u5386\u53f2\u65f6\u671f\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u52a8\u4efb\u4f55\u6218\u4e89\u3002\u201d\u65e0\u7591\uff0c\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u5931\u8d25\u8ba9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5f62…
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