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\u7f8e\u56fd\u5a92\u4f53\u4ece\u66fc\u8c37\u53d1\u51fa\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u62a5\u5bfc\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u90fd\u5bf9IPCC\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u8868\u793a\u4e0d\u6ee1\uff0c\u5e76\u8981\u6c42IPCC\u4fee\u6539\u5176\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u6240\u5f97\u51fa\u7684\u201c\u8fc5\u901f\u548c\u8d1f\u62c5\u5f97\u8d77\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u5c06\u4f1a\u9650\u5236\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6e29\u7684\u6700\u574f\u6548\u5e94\u201d\u7ed3\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4efd\u5305\u62ec\u7740\u6570\u767e\u4e2a\u653f\u5e9c\u8bc4\u8bba\u5728\u5185\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u8349\u6848\u7684\u6279\u8bc4\uff0c\u5df2\u62c9\u5f00\u4e86IPCC\u7b2c26\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u5e8f\u5e55\u3002\u8fd9\u6b21\u7531\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u548c\u5404\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4ee3\u8868\u56e2\u53c2\u52a0\u7684\u4e3a\u671f\u4e00\u5468\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u5f15\u53d1\u4e00\u573a\u6fc0\u70c8\u201c\u820c\u6218\u201d\uff0c\u4f1a\u8bae\u53c2\u52a0\u8005\u4f1a\u5c06\u5bf9\u6700\u7ec8\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u63aa\u8f9e\uff0c\u5c55\u5f00\u4e00\u573a\u6587\u5b57\u201c\u5927\u6218\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
IPCC\u57282007\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u4e24\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u5df2\u63cf\u7ed8\u4e86\u4e00\u5e45\u60b2\u60e8\u7684\u672a\u6765\u753b\u9762\uff0c\u65e0\u4f11\u6b62\u7684\u6e29\u5ba4\u6548\u5e94\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u5230\u4e862010\u5e74\u5c06\u4f7f\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u6e29\u589e\u957f11\u5ea6\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u70ed\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u548c\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u7684\u5347\u9ad8\uff0c\u5df2\u5f71\u54cd\u5230\u52a8\u7269\u7684\u751f\u547d\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c06\u4f7f\u65f1\u60c5\u8513\u5ef6\uff0c\u5e76\u5e26\u6765\u5176\u5b83\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n
4\u67086\u65e5\uff0c\u5728\u6bd4\u5229\u65f6\u5e03\u9c81\u585e\u5c14\uff0c\u7ecf\u8fc75\u5929\u7684\u6fc0\u70c8\u4e89\u8bba\uff0cIPCC\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5de5\u4f5c\u7ec4\u8bc4\u4f30\u62a5\u544a\u9762\u4e16\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u51fa\u7089\u540e\uff0c\u4e00\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u3001\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u77ed\u7f3a\u3001\u6d2a\u6c34\u3001\u5e72\u65f1\u3001\u9965\u8352\u3001\u761f\u75ab\u66b4\u53d1\u3001\u7269\u79cd\u706d\u7edd\u2026\u2026\u518d\u6b21\u6210\u4e3a\u6d41\u884c\u8bed\u3002\u5176\u5b9e\uff0c\u65e9\u57282\u6708\u4efd\uff0cIPCC\u7b2c\u4e00\u5de5\u4f5c\u7ec4\u8bc4\u4f30\u62a5\u544a\u5728\u5df4\u9ece\u51fa\u53f0\u65f6\uff0c\u201c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u201d\u5c31\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u5404\u5927\u5a92\u4f53\u5360\u636e\u4e86\u5934\u6761\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3002<\/p>\n
\u56fe\u4e3a\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4eba\u300b\u6709\u5173\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5c01\u9762\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u56fd\u5a92\u4f53\u6307\u51fa\uff0cIPCC\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u5728\u8b66\u544a\u4e16\u4eba\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5c06\u662f\u6df1\u8fdc\u548c\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u3002\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e2d100\u591a\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u7ecf\u8fc7\u901a\u5bb5\u8ba8\u8bba\uff0c\u7ec8\u4e8e\u5c31\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u6700\u7ec8\u6587\u672c\u8fbe\u6210\u4e00\u81f4\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u90e8\u5206\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u8c34\u8d23\u4e00\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u6de1\u5316\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f15\u8d77\u4e86\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5e76\u9020\u6210\u635f\u5931\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n
\u62a5\u544a\u8bf4\u4e3b\u8981\u7531\u4e8e\u71c3\u70e7\u751f\u7269\u71c3\u6599\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u5bfc\u81f4\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u6c99\u6f20\u5316\u3001\u5e72\u65f1\u4ee5\u53ca\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u7b49\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u800c\u70ed\u5e26\u5730\u533a\u7279\u522b\u662f\u975e\u6d32\u6492\u54c8\u62c9\u6c99\u6f20\u4ee5\u5357\u5730\u533a\u53ca\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5404\u5c9b\u56fd\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u6700\u5927\u6253\u51fb\u3002IPCC\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5e15\u4e54\u91cc\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u90a3\u4e9b\u6700\u7a77\u7684\u7a77\u4eba\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5305\u62ec\u90a3\u4e9b\u5bcc\u88d5\u56fd\u5bb6\u91cc\u7684\u7a77\u4eba\uff0c\u5c06\u53d7\u5230\u6700\u5927\u6253\u51fb\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
IPCC\u91cc\u67092500\u540d\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\uff0c\u662f\u6709\u5173\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6743\u5a01\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3002\u5b83\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u6240\u6709\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4e00\u81f4\u901a\u8fc7\uff0c\u5c06\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u63d0\u4f9b\u6307\u5bfc\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u662f\u5426\u5c06\u300a\u4eac\u90fd\u8bae\u5b9a\u4e66\u300b\u5ef6\u957f\u81f32012\u5e74\u3002\u5e03\u4ec0\u653f\u5e9c2001\u5e74\u9000\u51fa\u4e86\u300a\u4eac\u90fd\u8bae\u5b9a\u4e66\u300b\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4ecd\u7136\u8ba1\u5212\u72ec\u81ea\u5e94\u5bf9\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u51cf\u6392\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u53c2\u52a0\u5168\u7403\u5f3a\u5236\u51cf\u6392\u8ba1\u5212\u3002<\/p>\n
\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u975e\u6d32\u7cae\u98df\u4ea7\u91cf\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u9020\u6210\u6570\u767e\u4e07\u4eba\u7684\u9965\u8352\uff0c\u5b83\u8fd8\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u8d77\u559c\u9a6c\u62c9\u96c5\u5c71\u51b0\u5ddd\u878d\u5316\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u548c\u5317\u7f8e\u5f15\u8d77\u6eda\u6eda\u70ed\u6d6a\u3002\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u79f0\u4fc4\u56fd\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u5728\u901a\u5bb5\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u53cd\u5bf9\u610f\u89c1\u6700\u591a\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u8bd5\u56fe\u51cf\u7f13\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u8bed\u6c14\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5173\u4e8e\u7269\u79cd\u706d\u7edd\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u901f\u5ea6\u90a3\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002<\/p>\n
\u53d7\u5730\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u96ea\u5c71\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5176\u5b83\u53c2\u4e0e\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u4eba\u79f0\u7f8e\u56fd\u53cd\u5bf9\u5728\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5199\u5165\u7531\u4e8e\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5317\u7f8e\u53ef\u80fd\u906d\u53d7\u201c\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5931\u201d\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5219\u575a\u6301\u4ece\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5220\u53bb\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u201c\u786e\u4fe1\u201d\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u5f71\u54cd\u201c\u6240\u6709\u5927\u9646\u548c\u4e00\u4e9b\u5927\u6d0b\u7684\u5f88\u591a\u81ea\u7136\u7cfb\u7edf\u201d\u7b49\u5b57\u6837\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u4e0e\u4f1a\u4ee3\u8868\u8bbe\u6cd5\u5f3a\u5316\u4e86\u5176\u5b83\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u63aa\u8f9e\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u975e\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c06\u88ab\u8feb\u62ff\u51fa5%\u523010%\u7684\u56fd\u6c11\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n
IPCC\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\u62a5\u544a\u300a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u53162007\uff1a\u5f71\u54cd\u3001\u9002\u5e94\u548c\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u300b\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u201c\u672a\u676550\u5e74\u5185\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u534730\u5398\u7c73\uff0c\u5728\u6ca1\u6709\u9884\u9632\u6027\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c(\u4e2d\u56fd)\u5e7f\u5dde\u5730\u533a\u5c06\u67095500\u5e73\u65b9\u516c\u91cc\u571f\u5730\u88ab\u6df9\u6ca1\u3002\u201d\u300a\u62a5\u544a\u300b\u5c06\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u6696\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u4eba\u7c7b\u6d3b\u52a8\u6240\u6392\u653e\u7684\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u3002IPCC\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5e15\u4e54\u91cc(Rajendra Pachauri)\u535a\u58eb\u63d0\u9192\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u578b\u4e09\u89d2\u6d32\u548c\u6c5f\u6cb3\u6d41\u57df\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u8981\u7279\u522b\u4e88\u4ee5\u5173\u6ce8\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u4f1a\u4f7f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\u53e3\u7a20\u5bc6\u5730\u533a\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u8106\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n
4\u670830\u65e5\u81f35\u67084\u65e5\uff0cIPCC\u5728\u66fc\u8c37\u53ec\u5f00\u7b2c\u4e09\u5de5\u4f5c\u7ec4\u7b2c9\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u3002\u671f\u95f4\uff0cIPCC\u7b2c4\u6b21\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u8bc4\u4f30\u62a5\u544a\u7b2c\u4e09\u5377\u300a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u53162007\uff1a\u51cf\u7f13\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u300b\u5c06\u5b8c\u6210\u5b9a\u7a3f\u7a0b\u5e8f\uff0c\u5e76\u4e8e5\u67084\u65e5\u6b63\u5f0f\u53d1\u5e03\u3002\u7531IPCC\u7b2c\u4e09\u5de5\u4f5c\u7ec4\u8d1f\u8d23\u7f16\u5199\u7684\u7b2c\u4e09\u5377\u62a5\u544a\u5c06\u91cd\u70b9\u5206\u6790\u5404\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u3001\u4e3b\u8981\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5982\u4f55\u91c7\u53d6\u63aa\u65bd\u9650\u5236\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u3001\u4ece\u800c\u51cf\u7f13\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u8d8b\u52bf\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u56fd\u5a92\u4f53\u6700\u65b0\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u7b2c\u4e09\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u8349\u6848\u663e\u793a\uff0cIPCC\u5f3a\u8c03\u8bf4\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5168\u7403\u91c7\u53d6\u8bf8\u5982\u6539\u53d8\u4f7f\u7528\u7164\u70ad\u548c\u751f\u7269\u71c3\u6599\u3001\u5bf9\u8282\u80fd\u4e0a\u8fdb\u884c\u6295\u8d44\u7b49\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u6392\u653e\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u8fd9\u4efd\u7531\u6570\u767e\u540d\u4e13\u5bb6\u51c6\u5907\u548c\u8d77\u8349\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u8fd8\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8fc5\u901f\u91c7\u53d6\u4e00\u4e9b\u6280\u9009\u62e9\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u5df2\u6709\u7684\u8fd8\u662f\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5c31\u80fd\u591f\u628a\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6d53\u5ea6\u63a7\u5236\u57280.045%\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e\u76ee\u524d\u76840.035%\u3002<\/p>\n
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