\u697c\u4ef7\u76f8\u7b49\u5e74\u85aa4\u81f311\u500d \u52a0\u606f\u5373\u7206\u7834<\/p>\n
\u660e\u62a5\/\u6e25\u592a\u534e\u667a\u56ca\u56e2\u5411\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5730\u4ea7\u4e1a\u6572\u8d77\u8b66\u949f\uff0c\u6307\u51fa\u56fd\u51856\u5927\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u697c\u4ef7\u81ea2002\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u98da\u5347\uff0c\u5730\u4ea7\u4e1a\u572830\u5e74\u95f4\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u63a5\u8fd1\u6ce1\u6cab\u8fb9\u7f18\uff0c\u5b83\u9f50\u5907\u6240\u6709\u5371\u9669\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u6309\u63ed\u5229\u7387\u6025\u5347\uff0c\u6ce1\u6cab\u5c31\u4f1a\u523a\u7834\u3002<\/p>\n
\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u53e6\u7c7b\u653f\u7b56\u4e2d\u5fc3(Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives)\u5468\u4e8c\u516c\u5e03\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u6309\u63ed\u7387\u5bf9\u5730\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u3002\u5b83\u8bf4\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5404\u5927\u94f6\u884c\u53ea\u6d88\u8c03\u9ad81% \u52301.25%\u7684\u6309\u63ed\u7387\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7684\u697c\u623f\u4e1a\u5c31\u4f1a\u5d29\u6e83\uff0c\u597d\u50cf\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e00\u6837\u3002<\/p>\n
\u62a5\u544a\u4f5c\u8005\u8bf4\uff0c\u7cbe\u660e\u7684\u6309\u63ed\u7387\u8c03\u8282\uff0c\u4fee\u8ba2\u6309\u63ed\u89c4\u5219\uff0c\u662f\u9632\u6b62\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u3001\u6e29\u54e5\u534e\u3001\u6e25\u592a\u534e\u3001\u5361\u52a0\u5229\u3001\u7231\u8499\u987f\u548c\u6ee1\u5730\u53ef6\u5e02\u5730\u4ea7\u4e1a\u6ce1\u6cab\u7206\u7834\u7684\u8981\u8bc0\u3002\u6309\u63ed\u7387\u5e94\u8be5\u6162\u901f\u3001\u5c0f\u5e45\u5ea6\u4e0a\u8c03\u3002<\/p>\n
\u300a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\uff1a\u610f\u5916\u53ef\u671f\u300b\u62a5\u544a(Canada’s Housing Bubble: An Accident Waiting To Happen)\u8bf4\uff0c\u56fd\u51856\u5927\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u623f\u4ef7\u6025\u9ad8\uff0c\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u6c11\u4f17\u5e74\u6536\u5165\u76844.7\u523011.3\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u9500\u552e\u867d\u51cf\u6162 \u623f\u4ef7\u4ecd\u5904\u6ce1\u6cab\u8fb9\u7f18<\/p>\n
\u62a5\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5168\u56fd\u623f\u4ea7\u9500\u552e\u901f\u5ea6\u51cf\u6162\uff0c\u623f\u4ef7\u5374\u5904\u4e8e\u6ce1\u6cab\u8fb9\u7f18\u3002\u4ece\u5730\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u6700\u5408\u9002\u623f\u4ef7\u5e94\u5728\u4eba\u4eec\u5e74\u6536\u51653\u52304\u500d\u4e4b\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5168\u56fd\u623f\u4ea7\u9500\u91cf\u5728\u5e74\u521d\u5230\u9876\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u4e0b\u964d25%\uff0c\u4f46\u6839\u636eTeranet-National Bank\u7684\u6df7\u5408\u623f\u4ea7\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u56fd\u5185\u5927\u57ce\u5e026\u6708\u4efd\u623f\u4ef7\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u9ad8\u51fa13.6%\u3002<\/p>\n
6\u6708\u4efd\u623f\u4ef7\u8f83\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\ue4eb13.6%<\/p>\n
6\u6708\u623f\u4ef7\u6bd45\u6708\u9ad81.5%\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea\u53bb\u5e748\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6708\u589e\u5e45\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u7b2c14\u4e2a\u6708\u8fde\u7eed\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n
\u8fc7\u53bb30\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u53863\u6b21\u6ce1\u6cab\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u697c\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u3001\u5bb6\u5ead\u6536\u5165\u589e\u52a0\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u6ce1\u6cab\u5c31\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n
\u62a5\u544a\u4f5c\u8005\u9ea6\u514b\u5510\u7eb3(David Macdonald)\u8b66\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u623f\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u5229\u7387\u5728\u4e24\u5e74\u95f4\u8c03\u53471%\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u523a\u7834\u6ce1\u6cab\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5404\u5927\u94f6\u884c\u53ea\u9700\u8c03\u5347\u6309\u63ed\u5229\u73871%\u52301.25%\uff0c\u5c31\u80fd\u9020\u6210\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u623f\u4ea7\u5371\u673a\u5c40\u9762\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6e29\u54e5\u534e\u57281981\u548c1994\u5e74\u51fa\u73b0\u623f\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\uff0c\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u4e5f\u57281989\u5e74\u51fa\u73b0\u7c7b\u4f3c\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u5176\u4ed64\u5927\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u697c\u4ef7\u57281980\u52302001\u5e74\u95f4\u76f8\u5bf9\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u5728\u4eca\u65e5\u5e01\u503c15\u4e07\u523022\u4e07\u5143\u4e4b\u95f4\u3002\u9ea6\u514b\u5510\u7eb3\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4eca\u65e5\u5168\u90e86\u5927\u5e02\u573a\u623f\u4ea7\u5e73\u5747\u4ef7\u90fd\u8d85\u8fc730\u4e07\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n
\u62a5\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u4e8e\u6309\u63ed\u5229\u7387\u4f4e\uff0c\u4fe1\u8d37\u95e8\u69db\u4f4e\uff0c\u9f13\u52b1\u4e70\u5bb6\u8d2d\u4e70\u4ed6\u4eec\u672a\u5fc5\u8d1f\u62c5\u5f97\u8d77\u7684\u7269\u4e1a\u3002<\/p>\n
\u9ea6\u514b\u5510\u7eb3\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u5927\u94f6\u884c\u548c\u6309\u63ed\u516c\u53f8\u5e94\u7f13\u6162\u3001\u6e29\u548c\u8c03\u5347\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u5e76\u4fee\u8ba2\u6309\u63ed\u89c4\u5219\uff0c\u6062\u590d2006\u5e74\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u5c06\u9996\u671f\u4ed8\u6b3e\u8c03\u9ad8\uff0c\u4ece5%\u589e\u52a0\u523010%\uff0c\u8d37\u6b3e\u671f\u4ece35\u5e74\u8c03\u523025\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u6700\u597d\u7684\u5c40\u9762\u662f\u5728\u4ee5\u4e0b5\u523010\u5e74\u4fdd\u6301\u697c\u4ef7\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u8ba9\u697c\u4ef7\u56de\u5230\u201c\u5fc3\u7406\u5b89\u5168\u533a\u201d\uff0c\u914d\u5408\u901a\u80c0\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u4e1a\u4e3b\u5728\u5356\u623f\u65f6\u8d5a\u8d54\u90fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u592a\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6ee1\u5730\u53ef\u94f6\u884c(Bank of Montreal)\u526f\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e08\u6ce2\u7279(Douglas Porter)\u8bf4\uff0c\u62a5\u544a\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u4e0d\u5e94\u5b8c\u5168\u5426\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f46\u697c\u4ef7\u6da8\u5e45\u5728\u51cf\u5c0f\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u5e02\u573a\u5728\u8fdc\u79bb\u6ce1\u6cab\u3002<\/p>\n
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\u4f46\u6ce2\u7279\u4e5f\u8bf4\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5c11\u4e0d\u514d\u8981\u5927\u5e45\u8c03\u6574\u623f\u4ea7\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u697c\u4ef7\u957f\u671f\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u4e8c\u624b\u623f\u5e02\u573a\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u5df2\u662f\u5371\u9669\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n
\u623f\u5e02\u6ce1\u6cab\uff1f6\u5927\u57ce\u8fde\u6da814\u6708<\/strong><\/p>\n \u4e16\u754c\u65e5\u62a5\/\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u91cf\u8dcc\u843d\uff0c\u4f46\u672c\u56fd\u516d\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u7ee7\u7eed\u5c45\u9ad8\u4e0d\u4e0b\uff0c\u800c\u6e25\u592a\u534e\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u667a\u5e93\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u4ef7\u51fa\u73b0\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f0f\u7684\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u5e76\u975e\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u3002 <\/p>\n \u5de6\u7ffc\u667a\u5e93\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u53e6\u7c7b\u653f\u7b56\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives\uff0930\u65e5\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u62a5\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u6c34\u5e73\u4ecd\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u666e\u901a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4eba\u6536\u5165\u7684 4.7\u81f311.3\u500d\uff0c\u5927\u5927\u9ad8\u4e8e\u6bd4\u8f83\u9002\u5b9c\u7684\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u56fd\u6c11\u5e74\u6536\u51653\u81f34\u500d\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002 <\/p>\n \u66fe\u64b0\u5199\u201c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\uff1a\u4e00\u4e2a\u8fdf\u65e9\u8981\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u201d\uff08Canada’s Housing Bubble: An Accident Waiting To Happen\uff09\u4e00\u4e66\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u9ea6\u5510\u7eb3\uff08David Macdonald\uff09\u8bf4\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u6c34\u5e73\u503c\u5f97\u5173\u5207\u3002<\/p>\n \u623f\u5c4b\u9500\u552e\u91cf\u4eca\u5e74\u521d\u8fbe\u5230\u6700\u9ad8\u5cf0\u540e\uff0c\u8fc4\u4eca\u5df2\u4e0b\u8dcc25%\uff0c\u53ef\u662f\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u3001\u6e29\u54e5\u534e\u7b49\u516d\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u57286\u6708\u7ee7\u7eed\u6210\u957f\uff0c\u4e0e\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e86 13.6%\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u4e0e\u4eca\u5e745\u6708\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c6\u6708\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u4e5f\u4e0a\u6da81.5%\uff0c\u4e3a\u53bb\u5e748\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6708\u5ea6\u6da8\u5e45\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u662f\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c14\u4e2a\u6708\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002 <\/p>\n \u9ea6\u5510\u7eb3\u62c5\u5fc3\uff0c\u623f\u4ef7\u8fd9\u4e48\u6276\u6447\u76f4\u4e0a\uff0c\u5374\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5176\u5b83\u57fa\u672c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56e0\u7d20\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u96be\u514d\u6709\u4e00\u5929\u8981\u571f\u5d29\u74e6\u89e3\u3002 <\/p>\n \u53e6\u7c7b\u653f\u7b56\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb30\u5e74\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u51fa\u73b0\u8fc7\u4e09\u6b21\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u6bcf\u6b21\u90fd\u662f\u5f53\u623f\u4ef7\u98de\u901f\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4e0a\u6da8\u901f\u5ea6\u8d85\u8fc7\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u3001\u5bb6\u5ead\u6536\u5165\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6210\u957f\u7387\u65f6\uff0c\u968f\u4e4b\u623f\u4ef7\u4fbf\u51fa\u73b0\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u5411\u4e0b\u4fee\u6b63\u3002 <\/p>\n \u9ea6\u5510\u7eb3\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u89e6\u53d1\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u5f88\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56e0\u7d20\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4ee5\u524d\u6bcf\u6b21\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u53ea\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u5229\u7387\u5728\u4e24\u5e74\u5185\u4e0a\u53471%\u800c\u5df2\u3002 <\/p>\n \u8fc7\u53bb30\u5e74\u90a3\u4e09\u6b21\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u662f1981\u5e74\u548c1994\u5e74\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u6e29\u54e5\u534e\uff0c1989\u5e74\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u3002\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5176\u5b83\u91cd\u8981\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u5361\u52a0\u5229\uff08 Calgary\uff09\u7231\u6c11\u987f\uff08Edmonton\uff09\u3001\u6e25\u592a\u534e\u3001\u6ee1\u5730\u53ef\u57281980\u81f32001\u5e74\u95f4\u5747\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u4ee5\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u5e01\u503c\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u90a3\u65f6\u90fd\u572815\u4e0722\u4e07\u5143\u4e4b\u95f4\u3002 <\/p>\n \u9ea6\u5510\u7eb3\u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u201c\u4eca\u5929\u4ee4\u4eba\u5173\u5207\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u6e29\u54e5\u534e\u548c\u591a\u4f26\u591a\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8fd9\u516d\u5927\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u623f\u4ef7\u90fd\u8d85\u8fc730\u4e07\u5143\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u544a\u8beb\u4eba\u4eec\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u5728\u51b7\u5374\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u6446\u8131\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u7684\u5371\u9669\u3002 <\/p>\n \u6ee1\u5730\u53ef\u94f6\u884c\u526f\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e08\u6ce2\u7279\uff08Douglas 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